NBA Picks for Spurs vs. Clippers Series Deciding Game 7

Nikki Adams

Saturday, May 2, 2015 4:55 PM GMT

The Spurs and Clippers are level 3-3. Set to decide their NBA playoffs fate in a highly-anticipated game 7 tonight. Which side will advance?  Join us as we breakdown this matchup and serve up our NBA picks.

Back-and-Forth Series
The series swung like a pendulum between the Spurs and Clippers right from the start, despite the Spurs entering the NBA Playoffs as the defending champions and the series favorites to win outright at -165.  

To be fair, the Clippers were the higher seed and they underscored their regular season account by winning the opening game at home. The Spurs did perk up to win the next two games, but the Clippers levelled the series in game 4. The next two games saw each side win on the road, with the Spurs taking game 5 and the 3-2 lead and the Clippers taking game 6 to draw the series level 3-3. The upshot of which, it's anybody's series to win now. If the NBA odds were any indication, it's the hosts that are expected to advance into the next round.

 

Spurs At Disadvantage
San Antonio Spurs failed to capitalise on home advantage in game 6 to clinch the series. Instead, they lost 102-96 to the gutsy Clippers. Now, the series returns to Los Angeles, where the bookies send the defending champions as the road underdogs at +120 to win outright and the 2.5-point road faves. The Spurs are 3-3 SU and ATS in the series.

Check out this other capper's take on tonights lone matchup!

Clippers At Advantage
Los Angeles Clippers enter game 7 with momentum and confidence after staving off elimination in game 6. With home advantage to boot, they are the favorites at -140 to win outright and the 2.5-point home chalk. Just like the Spurs, they are 3-3 SU and ATS in this series, which includes a win and a cover in game 6 for their backers.

For today's picks we offer two alluring picks you will certainly want to play!

NBA Betting Verdict:
As a rule of thumb, home teams have the advantage over road teams. Hence, the NBA betting lines are set in accordance, but the NBA odds are quite snug. At -140, the Clippers aren't exactly the runaway favorites; while at +120, the Spurs aren't exactly priced out of the market and the realm of possibility either. In more ways than one, this game is a tossup.

Consensus betting reveals an almost split down the middle: 47% of the public is backing the Clippers for the home win while 53% are backing the Spurs for the road win. As far as spread betting NBA picks go, it would seem that 38% of public money is on the Spurs while 62% of public money is on the Clippers.  

This series deserves a game 7. So valiantly has each team fought that it's almost a shame one is going to be eliminated by the end of the day's proceedings. That's the nature of things, however. If we're to make a concentrated pick, we're backing fading the bookies and shading the Spurs. Consider both teams have won twice on the road in this series, more times than either won at home, being on the road might not be such a disadvantage. Hence, the Spurs could emerge the value NBA Pick here.

NBA Pick: Spurs +120 and +2.5

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