NBA Picks Spurs -5.5 vs. Grizzlies

Steven Suarez

Tuesday, January 7, 2014 2:55 PM UTC

Tuesday, Jan. 7, 2014 2:55 PM UTC

San Antonio has already beaten Memphis twice this season – will they make it three out of three as the NBA odds on favorites tonight? Let's find the value in this match-up and make our picks.

Odds Overview

The Spurs, who have an even better road record (13-3 SU) than home record (13-5 SU) will be favored by 5.5 points by the top sportsbooks against the Grizzlies tonight. An NBA betting spread of six points can also be located at some sites.

Want to make a play on the game's total? The O/U seems to be settling in at a number of 196.5 – the OVER has gone 22-11-1 in San Antonio's matchups and 17-16 in those involving Memphis this season.

San Antonio Spurs

There's no better cure for a bad loss than a statement victory and that's what the Spurs were able to record their last time on the court.

Two nights after a setback at home against the Knicks (101-105), San Antonio got back on track by dominating the Clippers 116-92 as 9.5-point chalk.

Sure, the fact Chris Paul was out for LA helped, but it may not have mattered the way the Spurs were executing offensively. They hit 55.6 percent from the floor overall and out-scored the Clippers 76-44 in the paint.

Tim Duncan had 19 points, 11 rebounds and four assists, Tiago Splitter put up 22 points and five boards and Tony Parker contributed 17 points (8-of-9 FG) and nine assists in the easy win. Kawhi Leonard and Manu Ginobili reached double digits as well.

That's now four wins in their last five for the Spurs, as they aim to keep momentum high on the road. Outside of San Antonio they've won three straight (at Dallas, Golden State and Phoenix) and they've gone an impressive 13-3 SU and 11-5 ATS overall for the season.

Live NBA odds for all the action!

Memphis Grizzlies

The Grizzlies continue to be maddeningly inconsistent without their interior force in Marc Gasol out there. Since he went down injured the team has gone 8-13 straight up.

Over their last seven games, Memphis has alternated wins and losses, with highlight wins over the Nuggets and Suns surrounding a bad home loss to the Bulls.

Two days ago the Grizzlies closed out a short road trip with a dominant 112-84 win over Detroit. Down by as many as 10 at one point, Memphis outscored the Pistons 61-28 in the second half.

Detroit's interior size is formidable, but that didn't stop Zach Randolph from having another productive outing. He finished wit h16 points, 16 rebounds and five assists. Excellent bench performances from Jon Leuer (23 points and eight boards) and Ed Davis (17 points and 11 rebounds) were key to the victory as well.

That's most certainly a confidence-boosting win, but we'll see if they can carry it over to a matchup against a team they're very familiar with in San Antonio. Unfortunately for the Grizzlies, it looks like Tony Allen (hand) will miss his second straight game tonight.

NBA Pick

We're picking the Spurs to win straight up and against the spread as one of our NBA picks tonight.

For one, San Antonio has already proven to be a mighty tough foe on the road and they've won in each of their last two trips to Memphis. The Spurs have won four straight in the head-to-head series, while mustering up an impressive 7-1 ATS mark in the past eight meetings.

Moreover, the Grizzlies have struggled at home throughout the season, going 7-11 SU and 5-13 ATS. They can't really be trusted on their own court for now, so we feel much better about going with the potent Spurs tonight, especially since Memphis will be down two starters.

Pick: Spurs -5.5


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