NBA Picks: Shade the Spurs (-3.5) vs. Inferior Bulls Squad

Charles Stark

Monday, November 30, 2015 1:59 PM GMT

NBA odds makers have made the Spurs a small road favorite in this spot, and although it might be tempting to take the home dog. Who will the NBA pick for this matchup.

Betting Odds
NBA odds have come out making the Spurs a small -3.5 favorite.  This line seems about right but I for my selection to come in and win this game by close to double digits.  Defensively they have been lights out and I expect the Bulls to struggle a bit from the floor.

 

San Antonio Spurs
The Spurs come in averaging 99.4 points per game, shooting 47.2% from the field, and 37% from distance.  The team that made pace and space popular has slowed things down a bit on the offensive end attempting just 83 field goal attempts per game which ranks 17th in the NBA.  Leave it to Greg Popovich though to coach to his personnel and make some solid adjustments to be an extremely efficient offense.  Adding LaMarcus Aldridge has added a new dimension to their team make up and although they are not attempting as many three's as years past at only 19.5 attempts per game, they are one of the most efficient offensive teams in the league with a 51.6% effective field goal percentage.

Defensively San Antonio is allowing just 89.7 points per game, 42.2% shooting from the field, and 32% from beyond the arc.  They rank in the top 5 in all key defensive categories and rank first in opponent points, opponent total rebounds, and opponent three point attempts per game.  Averages wise they are arguably the best defensive unit in the league.

 

Chicago Bulls
Chicago is averaging 99.4 points per game, 42.2% shooting from the field, and 38.1% shooting from beyond the arc. Their beyond the arc average is one of the best in the league ranking sixth, and their two point field-goal 43.7% is one of the worst in the NBA ranking 29th. They have been a good home team and are just coming back off a long four-game road stretch in which they went 2-2 with the losses both being respectable at Indiana and at Golden State. They haven't quite gotten to a good flow offensively which should really spell trouble for them tonight against the defensive first Spurs.

Defensively Chicago is allowing 98.9 points per game, 41% shooting from the field, and 33.4% from beyond the arc. This was a point of contention for me in the early part of the year when analyzing Chicago, were they going to be able to play solid defense? It seems so far that question is a definite yes as the 41% opponent shooting from the field is ranked second in the NBA. Tonight though against a very efficient offensive team in San Antonio they will have their hands full, and again, I don't think they will be able to do enough on both ends of the floor to keep the Spurs from winning this game by close to double digits.

Chicago could be a really popular pick with the public in this matchup, but I like the Spurs. For one of your NBA picks I recommend taking San Antonio as a small -3.5 favorite to win this game going away. Although Chicago has been very tough at home this will be a game in which the matchups and coaching will be the difference with the Spurs coming out on top.

NBA Pick: Spurs -3.5 at 5Dimes

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