Milwaukee Bucks vs. Memphis Grizzlies
On a roll since Marc Gasol returned, the Grizzlies will go for a sixth straight win tonight against the woeful Bucks. Currently the home team is favored by as many as 12.5 points, making Memphis the heaviest chalk of the night.
It's been a great run for the Grizzlies. They've beaten the Rockets twice, along with the Trail Blazers, Timberwolves and Kings, with three of the victories coming by double digits.
Last night Memphis got the job done in a 94-90 road win in Minnesota, as Zach Randolph went off for 26 points, 12 rebounds and four assists. Defensively, the Grizzzlies were tremendous, holding a potent offensive team to just 90 points on 46.4 percent shooting.
Milwaukee has gone winless in five consecutive matchups, four of which were by double figures. They were also in action last night, losing 102-113 in Orlando as six-point underdogs in the NBA odds.
When we check out each team's performances on back-to-backs, we see the Bucks are a dreadful 2-12 SU and 3-11 ATS, while the Grizzlies are a much more respectable 4-3 both straight up and against the spread.
Simply put, the Bucks have been a joke this season. They've won four total games on the road and they have little to no chemistry as a team. Rotations are constantly changing, with Brandon Knight seemingly the only one whose spot in the starting lineup is guaranteed. Injuries to John Henson, O.J. Mayo and Ekpe Udoh only make matters worse.
With that said, we simply have to take Memphis to cover, regardless of how high the number is. Take the Grizzlies, who have already beaten Milwaukee once this season, to cash as huge favorites tonight.
Pick: Grizzlies -12.5
New York is the place to be this weekend and it starts with a showdown between Carmelo Anthony and the Knicks and LeBron James and the Heat.
As of now, Miami is favored by five points in the NBA odds, while the O/U is at around 201.5.
The Knicks are playing some of their best basketball in what can be described as a tumultuous season so far. They've won four straight games, three of which were blowouts at home over the Bobcats, Celtics and Cavaliers.
In all four victories, New York has covered the spread, pushing their overall ATS record to 20-26 this season. On the opposite site, we've got a Miami squad that checks in at 32-13 SU and 19-26 against the number.
The Heat were just taught a lesson at home by Kevin Durant and the Thunder, losing by 17 in front of their own fans. That couldn't have been a fun night for the defending champions, so expect a very focused effort on both ends of the court tonight as they look to get back on track.
Typically, the Knicks have matched up really well with the Heat, but a lack of depth in this matchup could come back to bite them. Amare Stoudemire and Andrea Bargnani are out indefinitely, Kenyon Martin is doubtful for tonight, and Iman Shumpert could also miss out. That means Melo is really going to need guys like J.R. Smith, Tyson Chandler and Raymond Felton to help out.
When push comes to shove though, it's hard to pick against Miami's pedigree. They'll have a point to prove tonight and are the much healthier team at this juncture, so we're backing the Heat to come through and cover in our NBA picks.
Pick: Heat -5