NBA Picks: Saturday Playoff Picks of the Day

Jordan Sharp

Saturday, May 3, 2014 2:23 PM GMT

We have three Game 7’s tonight, followed by two more tomorrow, and the NBA Odds look just as valuable as Game 1. I have two plays that I feel extra intrigued by tonight, and both are ripe with value.

Grizzlies vs. Thunder
This series has gone from a dramatic Game 7 to a snooze fest, and it is all because of the NBA. The league has suspended Zach Randolph for Game 7 of this series, and even if Randolph has a long history of altercations in the league, robbing the NBA from a legit Game 7 is a tragedy. The Grizzlies will be without Randolph, and could be without Mike Conley, who strained his hamstring in Game 6. Conley missed the final quarter of Game 6, and it is really affecting the NBA Odds. 

The NBA Odds now have the Thunder as a -9 favorite, with a total of 185 points. Already down Randolph, and possibly with Conley limited, the Grizzlies have absolutely no shot at winning this game SU in OKC. However, I am still not sold on the Thunder’s ability to cover this Game 7, but the total of 185 looks like a gold mine just like Game 6.

The over cashed in Game 6 and has now cashed in four of the last five games in this series. With Conley possibly limited, and with Randolph out, the Grizzlies are going to have to get creative to score in this game. However I don’t think their offense is going to be the most influenced. Their defense may be the end of the floor that suffers the most, and it could lead to the over being a great play.

My Pick: OVER 185

[gameodds]5/285129/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]


Warriors vs. Clippers
Even though the league ruined one of the Western Conference Game 7’s there is another one on tonight that should be just as advertised. The Warriors edged out the Clippers to force a Game 7, and now the NBA Odds have LA as a -7 home favorite, with a total of 209 ½. 

Chris Paul’s legacy basically rides on this game so you can bet his defense will be as good as he can give tonight. Even though the Clippers depend on his offense, he is going to have to defend Stephen Curry better than he did in Game 6. Paul’s ability to rebound here will be huge, but his defense will be what wins or loses this game for LA.

Another big defender in this series left his mark on Game 6, and that was Draymond Green. Green played great defense on Blake Griffin when in the game, and if his defense is on point with where it was in Game 6, the Clippers are in even more trouble.

All that being said, I think we could see another defensive style of game between these two teams in this win or go home game. The total flew under in Game 6, and now that last two times the total has gone under in this series, it went there by 11 or more points. At 209 ½, this total seems a bit too high once again. Game 7’s almost always have plenty of defense, and I see it leading to the under here.

My Pick: UNDER 209 ½

[gameodds]5/285130/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]