Some of the odds are just coming out after morning shootarounds, and hopefully I have found some value tonight with my two NBA Picks of the day.
Thunder vs. Wolves
The NBA Odds have the Thunder as +2 road underdogs tonight against the Wolves, with a total of 208. This is only the sixth time the Thunder have been underdogs this season, and they are currently 2-3 ATS as dogs this season. All of the games were on the road, however I could see them evening up their dog ATS record tonight.
The Wolves are giving up nearly 101 points per game when playing at home, and with the Thunder on a mission offensively, I could easily see them pushing 105 tonight. Even though the Wolves are one of the best home scoring teams in the NBA, the Thunder have been pretty good defensively over their last 10-12 games. Even without Westbrook, who doesn’t get enough credit for being a good defender, the Thunder have still been good defensively. OKC has given up an average of only 91 points per game over their last four games, and if they play that good on defense tonight, they will surely cover +2.
The Wolves blasted OKC at the beginning of the season, and that game was without Westbrook, however OKC got them back about three weeks ago when they won in Oklahoma. The Thunder have covered three of their last five meetings overall with the Wolves combined with last season, and I see them continuing that trend tonight, even though they’re on the road.
My Pick: Thunder +2
Bobcats vs. Kings
Even after acquiring Rudy Gay, the Kings still aren’t great, and despite this, the NBA Odds still have Sacramento as a -5 ½ favorite tonight against the visiting Bobcats. Neither team had to play last night, and with Charlotte’s very underrated defense coming to town, I could see them covering +5 ½.
These two teams met up in Charlotte a few weeks ago, and the Bobcats took care of business 95-87. Gay only played 24 minutes as it was only his third game with the Kings, and if he is ineffective once again tonight, the Cats have the value. Kemba Walker should play pretty solid defense tonight against Isaiah Thomas tonight, and Al Jefferson will be able to at the very least cancel out DeMarcus Cousins some in this game.
The Kings are only 6-12 ATS this season at home, while Charlotte has been one of the best road teams in the league this season at 11-3-2 ATS. Once again, the Bobcats are seemingly undervalued on the road to a team that they are better than in personnel and in record. Not only are the Kings awful at home, but when they are favored this season at home, the Kings are 0-9 ATS. Look for Charlotte to keep this one within one possession and cover the spread against the overvalued Kings.
My Pick: Bobcats +5 ½