Mavs vs. Suns
Both teams had to play last night and travel to Phoenix afterwards, and the NBA Odds for this one favors the Suns at -3, with a total of 208 ½. With Christmas approaching, almost every team is closing in on a third of their schedule finished, and teams are starting to feel the burn of the long season. We have seen some incredibly high scores over the last week, and I think that’s a trend that will continue into the weekend. These two teams are both going to be tired after their games and travel last night, and it will likely affect defense first.
This is the first matchup between these two this season, but both are playing incredibly efficient on the offensive end of the floor. The Suns are averaging 108 points per game over their last five games, and at home this season, the Suns are averaging just over 105 points per game.
Both of these teams are in the top ten in the NBA in offensive efficiency and effective field goal percentage, and I expect plenty of scoring tonight against one another. The over has cashed in two of the last three meetings from these two teams last season, and nine of the last 13 meetings in Dallas have gone over as well. The Suns are 15-10 cashing the over this season, however they are 8-3 cashing the over in 11 of their most recent games. I’ll ride the Suns’ hot scoring for another night. Even though they failed to cash for us last night, I think the Mavs coming in will start up the scoring again.
My Pick: ‘Over’ 208 ½
The NBA Odds for this one have LA as a +12 ½ underdog heading into Golden State tonight to play the Warriors, with a total of 206 ½. Even though a bet on the over is tempting with this game, I think the Lakers are pretty undervalued, despite playing last night.
The Lakers were impressive last night beating the Wolves in LA, and the short flight to Oakland isn’t going to do much damage to their legs. Without Kobe Bryant, they are going to have to go back to the seven seconds or less Lakers, and I think it will help. Everyone is quick to forget how well the Lakers were playing without Kobe. The Lakers are 12-9 SU this season without Bryant, and I see them covering this lofty spread.
This is a Warriors team that just lost to the Spurs’ bench at home, and even though I have no doubt that Mark Jackson will have his team fired up to come back at the Lakers, I doubt it’s going to be by a 13-point margin by the end of the buzzer. The Lakers and Warriors are going to rain threes in the Oracle tonight, however I doubt the score gets out of hand. The Lakers have already beaten the Warriors once this season, (without Kobe) so I find it hard to believe Golden State is that much better, even with all of the point guard injuries for the Lakers.
My Pick: Lakers +12 ½