Warriors vs. Grizzlies
One night after getting slapped by the Rockets, the Warriors head into Memphis tonight for a matchup with the Grizzlies. Despite being without Marc Gasol, the Grizz are still a formidable opponent, and at home, they tend to play very well.
I can’t necessarily say the same thing about the Warriors right now. With Andre Iguodala still likely a few days from returning, the Warriors have looked lost without him, especially last night. Iggy is the glue that holds the Warriors’ young team together, and potentially without him again, I expect Memphis to win this game tonight.
The Grizzlies are a little banged up right now outside of Gasol, however I doubt either injury forces them to lose this game. Ed Davis sprained his ankle and his status for tonight is unknown, as is the status of Tony Allen, who sat out the Grizz’s last game with a hip injury. If both of these guys play, I’ll feel even better about our NBA pick. However if they both sit, it might turn this into a no-play.
The Grizzlies however have covered their last five meetings in a row with the Warriors, including a nice road win in Oakland a few weeks back. The Warriors are also 0-5 SU in their last five road games to Memphis, and 3-6 ATS in their last nine trips to Beale Street. With the Warriors coming off of a back to back, I see the Grizzlies taking care of business.
My Pick: Grizzlies -1
Nets vs. Bucks
It looks as if the Nets are destined for the lottery, the problem is they do not own their first round pick. Another team destined for the lottery is the Bucks, and the two face off tonight, as the Nets are -3 NBA Odds favorites. However I am more focused on the total, and I think the value is there for an over bet.
Sportsbooks are listing the total at 189, this total seems a bit too low for these two defensively inept teams. As of today, the Bucks are giving up about 100 points per game, and although they seem to get better at home, it won’t be enough to take the under here, especially on the back to back. The Nets have been purging points to other teams this season, as on the road and at home, the Nets are still giving up over 103 points per game.
After playing last night, the Bucks should be tired enough to give up some points to the Nets, and even though Brooklyn is banged up right now, so are the Bucks, and they still should have enough healthy pieces to put up some points against Milwaukee.
The total has gone over in five of Milwaukee’s last seven games, and I think tonight makes six of their last eight. Two of the last three times these two teams have met, the total has gone over. Both teams are dealing with a ton of injuries right now, which is going to mean more run for bench guys, little defense, and likely enough scoring to cash the over.
My Pick: OVER 189