NBA Picks: Rockets vs. Nuggets Odds Preview

Joe Freda

Saturday, April 6, 2013 11:40 AM GMT

Saturday, Apr. 6, 2013 11:40 AM GMT

The Denver Nuggets and Houston Rockets have been a pair of hot squads at NBA betting windows, both notching 3-1 spread records in their last four games.

Saturday night’s NBA betting has the foes squaring off at Pepsi Center, where the UNDER is 9-1 in the Nuggets’ last 10 home dates. 

Which side or ‘total’ play looks best here as the season’s final stretch takes shape? 

Nuggets, Iguodala rally past Mavs 

Denver logged its third straight win in Thursday’s 95-94 victory over the Dallas Mavericks, while falling short of cashing as seven-point home ‘chalk.’  The Nuggets erased a late nine-point deficit, outscoring the Mavericks in the fourth quarter, 25-17. 

Nuggets guard Andre Iguodala landed a clutch layup with two seconds remaining, finishing with a team-high eight assists. Denver’s Kenneth Faried grabbed 19 boards as part of his first double-double in seven games, while mates Andre Miller and Corey Brewer united for 45 points. 

The duel’s combined 189 points dipped UNDER the NBA odds ‘total’ of 207 ½, with the Nuggets held to 39.3 percent field shooting. Faried added four of his side’s five blocks, while Denver outrebounded the Mavericks, 50-41. 

Rockets, Harden outgun Blazers 

Houston shot 51.3 percent from the floor in Friday’s 116-98 triumph as a 5 ½-point road favorite against the Portland Trail Blazers. Rockets guard James Harden led his squad’s scoring with 33 points, while uniting with mate Jeremy Lin for 14 assists. 

Houston’s Omer Asik logged 11 boards, while forward Francisco Garcia came away with three of his side’s eight steals. The Rockets drained 12-of-28 buckets beyond the arc, while outscoring the Blazers in fast break points, 28-14. 

The battle’s combined 214 points leaped above the ‘total’ of 210, moving the OVER to 3-2 in the Rockets’ last five games. Houston sank 26-of-35 free throws, outscoring the Blazers in all four quarters of action. 

Back the UNDER in Denver 

5Dimes.eu opened Denver as a six-point home favorite, while first setting the ‘total’ at 213 ½. The Nuggets will be idle for three days before hosting the San Antonio Spurs, while Houston returns home to face the Phoenix Suns as part of Tuesday’s league slate.

Denver’s Danilo Gallinari (16.2 PPG) is now out for the season with a ligament tear, joining mate Ty Lawson (16.7 PPG) on the team’s injured list. Rockets forward Chandler Parsons (15.3 PPG) missed Friday’s matchup with a calf injury and is listed as “doubtful” to return here.

I am adding the UNDER in this battle to Friday’s sports picks, looking for the octane to cool down in this spot between these hot foes. The UNDER has cashed at 3-1-1 in the last five meetings between the rivals, while going 3-1 in the last four matchups Denver has hosted. 

Houston has put up some big numbers in the start of its road trip, but visits Pepsi Center without rest and playing its third game over four days. The Rockets have seen the UNDER collect at 8-1 in its last nine spots that followed scoring 100 points in their previous game. 

[gameodds]5/224103/43-19-999996-423-93/us[/gameodds]

Denver’s injuries are mounting, which have already caused the team’s scoring to drop. The Nuggets have made up for it with defense, holding foes to 90.8 PPG in their last nine home dates. 

The UNDER is 8-1-1 in Denver’s last 10 matchups against Western Conference rivals, with another tight battle looming here. Look for the UNDER to collect as both squads play tight down the stretch. 

NBA Pick: UNDER 213 ½ (5Dimes.eu)

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