Raptors Retain Betting Value Versus Struggling Celtics

Thursday, November 15, 2018 7:12 PM UTC

Thursday, Nov. 15, 2018 7:12 PM UTC

Never mind those last two games – the Toronto Raptors are still awesome, and they’re still the right NBA pick for Friday’s game against the off-kilter Boston Celtics

<p style="text-align:right"><strong><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Nov. 14: 5-4 ATS, 1-1 Totals</em></strong></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/toronto-raptors-vs-boston-celtics-c/odds/" title="Game Odds">Toronto (12-3 SU, 8-7 ATS) vs. Boston (8-6 SU, 5-9 ATS)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Friday, 7:00 p.m. ET, Boston (ESPN)</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NBA Pick: Raptors ATS</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="http://https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4418&amp;book=5dimes" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">5Dimes</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569978, "sportsbooksIds":[19,93,1096,169,238], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>The 3-point shot is the best and the worst thing that’s ever happened to basketball. It’s been almost 40 years since the NBA adopted this rule, and teams are jacking up more threes than ever before. But these are high-variance shots; there will be nights when the lid seems to be nailed to the basket, and grabbing offensive rebounds gets more difficult as your shot distance increases.<br /><br />Case in point: the Toronto Raptors. They’ve dropped back-to-back games SU and ATS as 9.5-point home faves, shooting a combined 17-of-65 (26.2 percent) from behind the arc. That’s not normal. But “regression to the mean” does make Toronto a better <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/" rel="nofollow" title="Our NBA Picks">NBA pick</a> for Friday’s road game against the Boston Celtics, who still don’t have all their ducks in a row. It’s just a question of who’s going to suit up for the Raptors.</p><h2><strong>There’s </strong><strong>Someone on the Wing</strong></h2><p>Depth has been the least of Toronto’s concerns in recent years, but they suddenly find themselves with a shortage of wing players. Norman Powell (minus-0.8 BPM) suffered a shoulder subluxation earlier this month; right after that, C.J. Miles (minus-3.4 BPM) was shelved with a right adductor strain. They’re at the end of the regular 11-man rotation for the Raptors, so not too much damage done.<br /><br />Then Danny Green (plus-3.0 BPM) had to leave Wednesday’s game against the Detroit Pistons with a tight lower back. Uh-oh. Green has been outstanding since coming over from the San Antonio Spurs alongside Kawhi Leonard (plus-3.1 BPM), playing strong defense and hitting 44.6 percent of his threes. After Green left the game in the third quarter, the Raptors completely fell apart and lost 106-104. He’s listed as day-to-day.</p><h2><strong>Blue Serge</strong></h2><p>The Raptors got another unpleasant surprise Wednesday when resurgent big man Serge Ibaka (plus-2.1 BPM) was held out of the lineup with a sore right knee. Greg Monroe did a fine job backing up Jonas Valanciunas (plus-2.6 BPM) in his first extended run in a Toronto uniform, but he can’t stretch the floor like Ibaka, who looks quite comfortable playing center in the New NBA. Ibaka is also listed as day-to-day.</p><p>[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;This week on Raps unPublished, Ma Fuzzy Man himself &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/sergeibaka?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@sergeibaka&lt;/a&gt; joins the gang to chat about his journey to the &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/NBA?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@NBA&lt;/a&gt; &amp;amp; his hit show &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/HowHungryAreYou?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#HowHungryAreYou&lt;/a&gt;. &lt;br /&gt;&lt;br /&gt;Epi 3 🎙️» &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/GJgkX87ewD\"&gt;https://t.co/GJgkX87ewD&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/y1lfXnemEv\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/y1lfXnemEv&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Toronto Raptors (@Raptors) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/Raptors/status/1063056302929195008?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;November 15, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p><p>Boston could definitely take advantage of this situation. But they’ve had <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/nba-picks-blazers-the-small-market-choice-over-celtics/87458/" title="&quot;Celtics Still Struggling ...&quot;">chemistry issues</a> this year, and PF Marcus Morris (plus-0.5 BPM) was held out of Wednesday’s game against the Chicago Bulls with an undisclosed illness. This is definitely one of those games (as most are these days) where you’ll need to wait for the shoot-around before placing your bet; the overnight <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/" rel="nofollow" title="Live NBA Odds">NBA odds</a> have yet to hit the board at press time, but FiveThirtyEight project the C’s as 2-point home faves, so use that as a baseline and see if the Raptors have enough active personnel to realize their inherent betting value.</p>
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