NBA Picks & Predictions for Pacers vs. Heat Game 5

Joe Freda

Wednesday, May 29, 2013 6:13 PM GMT

The Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat are now tied at 2-2 in the NBA’s Eastern Conference Finals, following Indiana’s 99-92 victory as a three-point home dog. Thursday’s Game 5 has the foes shifting back to Miami, where the Heat went 0-2 ATS in the set’s first pair of battles.

Will the Pacers pick up another cashed ticket or will Miami raise its octane with this pivotal spot? Let's breakdown this matchup and decide where we should place our NBA picks.

Pacers, Hibbert top Heat 

Tuesday’s victory for Indiana saw the Pacers shoot 50 percent from the field, while sizably out-rebounding Miami, 49-30. Pacers center Roy Hibbert came away with his fourth double-double in five games, notching 23 points and 12 boards. 

Indiana’s George Hill logged a team-high six assists, while sinking 9-of-10 free throws en route to finishing with 19 points. Hill’s mate Paul George recorded two of his side’s five blocks, while forward Sam Young grabbed a pair of steals in 14 minutes of action off the bench. 

Miami was held to a 39 percent night from the floor, trailing by as many as 11 points. Heat mates LeBron James and Dwayne Wade united for 40 points and 11 assists, while Ray Allen logged a team-high seven rebounds. 

The battle’s 191 combined points jumped above the ‘total’ of 184, lifting the OVER to a 4-0 mark for the series. Indiana outscored the Heat in the paint, 50-32, while both squads drained a combined 11-for-37 mark beyond the arc.

[gameodds]5/236662/43/us[/gameodds]

Back the Heat in Game 5 

The NBA odds opened Miami as 7 ½- point home ‘chalk’ for Game 5, while first setting the ‘total’ at 185 ½. Heat center Chris Bosh is listed as “probable” after suffering an ankle injury in Game 4. 

I am laying the points here, adding a ticket on the Heat to Thursday’s sports picks. Miami is 8-0 ATS in its last eight spots that came after a defeat, including its 114-96 victory in Game 3 as a two-point road favorite. 

The Heat notched above 46 percent field shooting in Games 1 and 2 on their floor, with Game 5’s intensity setting up another high-octane spot. Miami found itself out-rebounded in both affairs, but you can count on more hustle on the boards this time around. 

Indiana has been showing its ‘A-Game’ throughout most of the series, but the move in venue should cool off the momentum of Frank Vogel’s club. Game 3’s shift to Bankers Life Fieldhouse saw Miami connect from the three-point line at a 6-for-14 clip, leading by as many as 21 points with extra fuel after Game 2’s setback.

Miami topped the Pacers in last year’s Game 5 between the two clubs in a 115-83 spanking as a seven-point home favorite. The conference semifinal series was also tied 2-2 heading into that contest, with the Heat scorching Indiana for  61.4 percent field shooting. Indiana trailed throughout the affair, while Miami outscored Hibbert and Co. in all four quarters. 

Add the Miami to your sports picks, expecting them to turn it up again here, pulling away as home ‘chalk’ to take the driver’s seat in this set.

NBA Pick:  Miami Heat -7 ½ at Bet365