Depth, Anonymity and Rest Give Clippers Betting Edge Over Spurs

Wednesday, November 14, 2018 6:49 PM UTC

Wednesday, Nov. 14, 2018 6:49 PM UTC

The Los Angeles Clippers have proved there is life after Lob City. They’re the value NBA pick for Thursday night’s game against the struggling San Antonio Spurs.

<p style="text-align:right"><strong><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Nov. 14: 5-4 ATS, 1-1 Totals</em></strong></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Game Odds">San Antonio (7-5 SU, 6-6 ATS) vs. L.A. Clippers (8-5 SU and ATS)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Thursday, 10:30 p.m. ET, Los Angeles</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NBA Pick: Clippers ATS</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href=";book=BetOnline" rel="nofollow" title="Top-Rated Sportsbook">BetOnline</a></h2><p>[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":3569968, "sportsbooksIds":[1096,999991,19,93,238], "LineTypeId":1, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]</p><p>Somebody forgot to tell the Los Angeles Clippers that they’re no longer the No. 1 team in town. The arrival of LeBron James with the Lakers, and the departures of Blake Griffin (to Detroit) and DeAndre Jordan (to Dallas), make it easy to overlook the Clippers – and let’s face it, they were born to be the B-team in La La Land. But here we are nearly a month into the 2018-19 regular season, and the B-team is one game ahead of the 7-6 Lakers in the Pacific Division.<br /><br />Let’s grab some of that value while we can. The San Antonio Spurs are coming to town Thursday night, and they’ve dropped three of their last four games SU and ATS. The injuries that threatened to derail their season are only getting worse. And this is the second of back-to-back road games for these weary travelers. Yeah, we’re going to put the Clippers in our <a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Check NBA Picks">NBA picks</a>. It’s just the right thing to do.</p><h2><strong>Bank of Montrezl</strong></h2><p><a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Take Griffin-less Clippers ...">Remember how</a> the Clippers always seemed to beat the <a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Live NBA Odds">NBA odds</a> whenever Griffin was injured? Shedding Jordan (plus-2.1 BPM last year) seems to have given them another boost in betting value. Always-underappreciated Montrezl Harrell (plus-7.7 BPM) is having a breakout campaign for L.A. at both ends of the court, even if he’s coming off the bench behind veteran Marcin Gortat (plus-1.5 BPM). And let’s not forget about our hero Boban Marjanovic (plus-5.2 BPM) putting in quality big-man work in short bursts.</p><blockquote data-lang="en"><p dir="ltr" lang="en">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Montrezl Harrell is just a really skilled maniac on the basketball court &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Jackson Frank (@jackfrank_jjf) &lt;a href=\"\"&gt;November 13, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p></blockquote><p>Meanwhile, rookie PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (plus-1.9 BPM) has been playing so well, he’s already been elevated to the starting five. This was a problem spot for the Clippers last year with injuries to Patrick Beverley and Milos Teodosic; Beverley (plus-2.1 BPM) is back in the lineup and pairing with SGA in the backcourt, while Teodosic (plus-1.0 BPM) is getting a few minutes here and there to whip the ball around the gym, so the Clips are flush in this department, too. Did we mention they traded Austin Rivers (minus-0.9 BPM last year) to the Washington Wizards in exchange for Gortat?<br /><br />As for the Spurs, <a href="" rel="nofollow" title="Hurtin’ Spurs ...">they should have some betting value</a> this year with DeMar DeRozan (plus-3.7 BPM) and Jakob Poeltl (plus-1.4 BPM in a diminished role) coming over from the Toronto Raptors in exchange for two gentlemen who were playing hurt – or not at all – for most of the 2017-18 season: Kawhi Leonard (nine games played) and Danny Green (plus-1.2 BPM in 70 gimpy games). But this is a bad spot for them, especially with veteran big Pau Gasol (plus-4.8 BPM) expected to sit out with a sore right foot. Depth is already an issue with guards Dejounte Murray and Lonnie Walker on the shelf. And they’re going to play on zero days of rest after traveling from Phoenix? We’ll fade that for a dollar.</p>
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