NBA Picks: Playoff Picks & Predictions with Ref Tim Donaghy

Peter Loshak

Friday, April 19, 2013 8:09 PM UTC

Friday, Apr. 19, 2013 8:09 PM UTC

Tim Donaghy is a former NBA referee who wrote a book about his time in the NBA, and is now forging a career as a professional handicapper specializing in, of course, the NBA.

How much the NBA is “scripted” is a topic of much debate among seasoned sports bettors, and Tim himself has a lot to say on the matter. Tim has always said, since he left the NBA, that there are certain “tendencies” or “preferences”, for lack of better, more specific words, that various league referees exhibit that do very much influence the outcomes of games in many various ways. These tendencies are knowable, but are not necessarily common knowledge to the casual sports fan or sports betting.

Tim has always been very candid about his experiences, and some of what he has said has confirmed suspicions bettors have developed, and sometimes acted on, over the years.

When it comes to cashing in your NBA picks, referee tendencies can affect spreads, totals, and even money lines, and are much more likely, according to Tim, to come into play in certain seasonal circumstances than others. Some refs will clamp down much more on hand checks, for example, against certain teams at certain points of the season.

In the playoffs, these kinds of factors can get very magnified, as it’s no secret that certain game outcomes, and even certain series outcomes, can have an enormous impact on the revenues the NBA generates from the playoffs.

Tim chatted with SBR Forum’s Peter Loshak for a bit, discussing what he will be looking for in the 2013 NBA playoffs, as well as getting into specifics regarding certain teams that he feels might be overvalued or undervalued.

Tim’s unique take on NBA handicapping results in him having opinions on things most handicappers might not consider, like which series are more likely than others to have a lot of “controversial” calls.

comment here