My NBA Player Props picks are back and I'm excited to provide the betting public with some of the edges that I see in some particular matchups taking place on Wednesday, April 8th.
Total Rebounds For Pau Gasol
Over 10.5 -115
Under 10.5 -115
We all know that Pau Gasol is a walking double double. The two factors in this game are his opponent and the player that he will be guarding. If guarding Nikola Vucevic, Gasol will be dealing with a player with more mass than him and controlling the boards will be difficult. We also have to worry about Tom Thibideau limiting Gasol's minutes in case of a blowout. Gasol could possibly sit part of the 4th quarter if this game is in hand. In 5 of his last 7 games, Gasol has had 10 rebounds or more. My money is on Pau as Orlando is looking to finish the season. Take the over.
NBA Pick on Player Props: Over 10.5 -115 at Bovada
Check out our free NBA pick for Bulls vs. Magic here
Total Points For Jimmy Butler
Over 19 -110
Under 19 -120
Butler is one of those type of players that flies under the radar. You turn your head and ...boom...he has another 20 point game. He's a very offensively skilled young player. Odds makers are trying to allure the bettor into taking the under as Butler has had two recent game of under 20 points. The Magic won't be able to stop him. I'm going to fade the consensus and take the over. Look for Butler to make a statement.
NBA Pick on Player Props: Over 19 -110 at Bovada
Total Rebounds + Points + Assists For Elfrid Payton
Over 25 -115
Under 25 -115
This eccentric young man has made his mark in the NBA and has really had a strong 2nd half of the season as he can do many things well. Lately, Payton has been an automatic double-double where assists are concerned; it's just the rebounds that we have to worry about. Since March 18th, he's had 2 triple-doubles and more often than not, has eclipsed the total of 25 for this prop. We're going to go over as he has a nice matchup at point guard tonight.
NBA Pick on Player Props: Over 25 as my NBA pick
Total Points For Kemba Walker
Over 19.5 -135
Under 19.5 +105
Odds makers appear to think that Kemba will eclipse the 20 point mark as he plays a speedy Toronto team which doesn't specialize in defense. Even though he plays on a rather lousy team in Charlotte, Walker has come back strong from injury. In his last 6 games, he has eclipsed the 20 point mark convincingly. Matchup matters here and that's persuaded me to lean towards the over.
NBA Pick on Player Props: Over 19.5 -135 at Bovada
Total Points For Lou Williams
Over 16.5 -125
Under 16.5 -105
From a fantasy league aspect, I've never been a big proponent of taking Williams as he doesn't see the playing time that a DeMar DeRozan see's and is expected to just tear up the nets in 25 minutes or sometimes less.
Not only that, his playing time is split up into bits and pieces and I simply don't like it. This is really rough for me to do as I was ready to jump on the NBA odds under, but Williams has been beasting as of late. He's averaging 25 points in his last 2 games and has reached the 16.5 point mark in 6 out of his last 7 games. The bettor is forced to take the over.
NBA Pick on Player Props: Over 16.5 at Bovada