Obviously Miami is favored. The only question is by how many points. Tonight the Heat are laying 10.5 points in the NBA odds, while the game's total is at either 200.5 or 201 points.
Miami is 14-3 SU and 9-8 ATS and Detroit is 7-10 SU and 8-9 ATS. The OVER has been a money-maker for both teams this season, hitting in 11 of the Pistons' 17 games and in nine of the Heat's 17 matchups.
The Pistons have been very up-and-down to start the year but looked great in a 115-100 win over Philadelphia two nights ago.
Up 40-25 after the first quarter and 70-46 at halftime, Detroit cruised from the get-go, shooting 46.1 percent overall and 35.7 percent (10-of-28) from three-point range.
We had a couple standout performances from the Pistons. Andre Drummond was unstoppable, scoring 31 points on 12-of-15 shooting and adding 19 rebounds, six steals and two blocks. He could have finished with even more points but connected on only 7-of-18 free throws.
Drummond was joined in his great effort by Brandon Jennings, who had 20 points (7-of-16 FG), 12 assists and six rebounds. Josh Smith added 20 points and five assists and Rodney Stuckey scored 17 points off the bench.
Detroit's size is a major strength this season, with the trio of Drummond, Smith and Greg Monroe sure to cause a lot of problems for opposing teams. But can they bring a consistent effort every game?
You'd have to go back to November 9th to find the last time the Heat lost. Remember that game? A buzzer-beating three by Boston's Jeff Green in South Beach.
Well, Miami sure took that one personally as they've reeled off 10 straight wins since that shocking home loss.
Included in there are home wins over Dallas, Atlanta, Milwaukee, Phoenix, Orlando and Charlotte. The Heat have already built up a comfy 5.5 game lead in the Southeast Division and will enter tonight's game with a 9-1 SU home record.
Two nights ago Miami really had to fight for it in a 99-98 win over the Bobcats. The Heat were down 12 heading into the final quarter but roared back to win.
LeBron James had 26 points (8-of-13 FG), five rebounds and four assists, Chris Bosh had 22 points and nine boards and Dwyane Wade and Mario Chalmers also scored in double figures. The Heat shot an impressive 52.2 percent from the field as a team.
Tonight we have to think it's Miami or nothing, at least when it comes to betting the spread with our NBA picks.
The Pistons are coming off a big win, but that was over the 76ers at home. It's a little different when you have to come up against the two-time defending champions.
LeBron and company had to be disappointed that they barely escaped with a win over the Bobcats their last time out. We expect them to put forth a much better effort on both ends of the floor, leading to another big Miami victory.
Pick: Miami Heat -10.5