NBA Picks for Pistons vs. Heat Against the Spread: Detroit's on a Mission, Miami's Short-Handed

Joe Catalano

Sunday, March 29, 2015 2:50 PM GMT

We look to the pointspread for our value NBA Pick today, keeping in mind that the Detroit Pistons are trailing the Boston Celtics by 4 games with 10 games remaining in the regular season.

Tip-off is set for 6:00 pm ET tonight at the American Airlines Arena in Miami, Florida. According to NBA odds, the Heat are a 3 point betting favorite and the total for the game is set at 194.5. These odds are kind of light with a game in South Beach. Miami can't win without Chris Bosh and are going absolutely nowhere. Their highlight of the season would be to knock out Lebron James in the first round of the playoffs, but that won't happen.

We include Pistons/Heat in These Top Totals Picks

Young Upstarts
If you're head coach, Stan Van Gundy, you have to feel pretty good about your team. Reggie Jackson hated being backup to Russell Westbrook and is getting all of the playing time that he wants and Kentavious Caldwell-Pope has gotten hot at the right time of the season. Jackson is a great addition to this team, but the only issue that I have with him is taking poor shots.

In his last 2 games, Jackson is averaging 27 points per game and is coming off of a triple double in a victory over Orlando. In his last 10 games, Jackson is averaging 16.4 points, 9.3 assists, and 5.2 rebounds per game. Clearly, Detroit is the place for Jackson to be. He just has to realize that the weight of the team isn't on his back. We have to remember that Greg Monroe is out and when he comes back next season, this is a playoff team for sure.

Keep in mind when preparing your NBA picks that as for KCP, he's coming off of a terrible 4 for 20 shooting performance in the loss to Orlando, but previous to that, he was playing the best basketball of his career with 26 and 27 point efforts. In his last 10 games, KCP is averaging 16.3 points and 3.6 rebounds per game. He's good at knocking down the timely 3- ball. This is a player that is kind of raw, but definitely a keeper and should be a contributor against the short handed Heat.

 

Weak Eastern Conference = Playoffs
Miami has no business being in the playoffs, but this is the NBA. The only thing good to come from this season has been the leadership role that Dwayne Wade has regained and the raw talent of rebounding machine, Hassan Whiteside. Luol Deng looks like a horse that's dragging to the finish line and was a horrendous pick up. The Bulls certainly knew what they were doing by dumping that load.

Miami is coming off of a 99-86 loss to the Atlanta Hawks as offense has been their Achilles heel. Goran Dragic was a better signing than Deng, but he was another rotten pickup as Eric Bledsoe was a much better player for the Suns.

With Dragic, you're going to see some good nights and then you'll see the 6 points on 3 of 11 shooting that he gave the Heat against the Hawks. I'm sure that head coach, Erik Spoelstra, wasn't expecting Dragic to play so poorly. Nevertheless, Miami needs his offense as he's averaging 16.2 points per game.

 

33 Years Young
This is certainly a winnable game for Miami as they have the best player on the court in D. Wade. Wade is averaging 21.5 point per game this season and could possibly be gearing up for a playoff match against the Cavs. Wade appears to be healthy and what I love about  Wade is the 2 beatings that he put on Lebron when he came back to South Beach, People thought that Wade was finished at 33 years old, but Wade still has gas in the tank. I don't know if there will be enough gas to defeat a hungry Pistons team.

NBA Pick- Detroit +3 at 5Dimes