NBA Picks: Pistons The Underdog Against Magic? What! Great Value Here

Joe Gavazzi

Wednesday, April 6, 2016 2:18 PM GMT

The Detroit Pistons travel from Miami to Orlando, where they will face the Orlando Magic in this 7:05 ET tip. See inside for my NBA pick and preview on tonight's teams. 

Detroit Pistons vs. Orlando Magic (-2) 7:00 ET
The Detroit Pistons travel from Miami to Orlando, where they will face the Orlando Magic in this 7:05 ET tip. These teams have faced each other twice this season, both in Detroit, with the Pistons recording dominant wins of 16 and 26 points.That runs Detroit’s series record to 5-0 SU ATS. The previous 3 times these teams faced off last season, Detroit won by margins of 23, 10 and 14 points. AND, NOW THEY ARE AN UNDERDOG! This is what we call a series dominator. 

This is also one of our classic, late-season NBA super-surgers vs. towel-tossers. Although Orlando has played a bit better of late, they still have a record of 33-44 SU, which eliminates them from the upcoming playoffs. Following the Detroit loss last night in Miami, the Pistons stand 41-37 SU. That is good for 8th place in the Eastern Conference playoff queue, ½ game behind Indiana for 7th place and 2 games ahead of the Chicago Bulls (with 4 games to play).

Orlando clearly has some great offensive talent in Vucevic and Oladipo. Orlando enters tonight on a 4-1 SU ATS run, in which they have averaged 119 PPG. Vucevic has been a major catalyst for that. Since he returned from injury 3 games ago,Vucevic has averaged 24 PPG.

Detroit took a major hit last night with their loss to Miami. In the 107-89 defeat, the Pistons went just 5 for 21 from behind the arc. HC Van Gundy said after the game “from the start to the finish, they dominated us, particularly on the perimeter.” But with tonight’s victory, they can claim their first winning record since 2008. A win tonight would give them a leg up on reaching the playoffs for the 1st time in 7 years. Look for a far better effort tonight from Detroit, against an Orlando team who they have dominated on the offensive end in scoring 116 PPG and shooting 43% from 3 point land in their 5-game series winning streak. 

 

Betting Analysis
This is a classic case of a super-surger vs. a towel-tosser with the added value of getting Detroit as a series dominator, AS UNDERDOG against a team they have beaten by an average of 18 PPG the last 5 times they have faced them. I invite you to put the NBA odds in your favor and join me in my NBA pick on the Detroit Pistons tonight. Wanna know what other value picks are happening tonight? Be sure to check today's NBA picks of the day

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Free NBA Pick: Detroit +2.5
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle