NBA Picks: Pistons With High Possibility To Beating Host Cavaliers In Game 2

Kevin Stott

Tuesday, April 19, 2016 3:20 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 19, 2016 3:20 PM GMT

LeBron and the defending Eastern Conference champion Cavaliers escaped with a Game 1 win against Pistons in their EC Quarterfinals series. So what’s the best NBA pick here if there even is one?

Odds Overview
Detroit Pistons at Cleveland Cavaliers [Thursday 01:05] (TNT, Directv 245 (US), BT Sport 1 (UK), 8:05 p.m. EDT/5:05 p.m. PDT): LeBron James and the No.1-seed and defending Eastern Conference champion Cleveland Cavaliers (57-25 SU, 33-8 Home in Regular Season) welcome the No.8-seed Detroit Pistons (44-38 SU, 18-23 Away) to Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland on Wednesday night for Game 2 of their Eastern Conference Quarterfinals Playoffs series.

Sportsbooks currently have the host Cavaliers as 10- (GTBets) to 10½-point favorites (Bookmaker) in this game with the Total (Points) at 201 (GTBets). The Money Line (Winner) odds currently see host Cleveland priced at -590 (GTBets) with the visiting Pistons lined at +465 the takeback as the logical Game 2 Road underdogs.

The First Half NBA odds see LeBron and the Cavaliers as 6½-point favorites (at GTBets) with the First Half Total set at 101½ (GTBets). The Cavaliers won Game 1 on Sunday, 106-101, but failed to cover the Point Spread as big 11-point chalks with the game going Over the closing Total of 200.

 

Detroit Pistons
The Detroit Pistons (42-38-2 ATS, 18-23-0 ATS Away) played very well and matched up very well with the Cavaliers in that 106-101 Loss at Cleveland in Game 1 on Sunday, so Head Coach Stan Van Gundy and the Pistons (250/1 to win NBA championship,  GTBets) should be happy with at least the Tone they set for this series and the potential Confidence these new-look Bad Boys as well as the sources of scoring—always an important thing for an NBA team and something this usually Defense-minded Pistons franchise has slowly improved on in recent years.

Detroit (75/1 to win Eastern Conference, GTBets) had a Starting 5 of C Andre Drummond (13 points, 11 rebounds), PF Marcus Morris (20 points), SF Tobias Harris (9 points, 10 rebounds), SG Kentavious Caldwell-Pope (21 points) and PG Reggie Jackson (17 points, 7 assists) against Cleveland in the opener, and expect that solid five to be the Starting unit again on Wednesday as it has been for the majority of the season and could be for some time into The Future, as these five jell so well, with the surprising play of Morris the Cherry on top.

And the Pistons (15-29 from 3’s, 51.5%) Reserves did their part too, with Arizona product and Rookie Stanley Johnson (9 points, 3-4), Reggie Bullock (8 points, 2-2) and Aron Baynes (3 points, 1-1) combining for 20 points off the Detroit Bench and missing just one shot from the Field (Detroit shot 50.7% from the Field as a team, 37-for-73).

And they still lost. Why? This dude from Akron named LeBron and the fact that the host Cavaliers put up 15 more FG attempts (88) than did the Pistons (73), which means somebody was really getting the Shots they wanted on Sunday.

 

Cleveland Cavaliers
The Cleveland Cavaliers (37-42-3 ATS, 20-21-1 ATS Home in Regular Season) and Head Coach Tyronn Lue used a 30-23 4th Quarter on Sunday to hold off the Pistons in Game 1 in a contest in which Detroit was in all the way and leading a good portion of. Like Detroit, (some of) the Cleveland Starting 5 did a decent job scoring but the Cavaliers organization and energy spent on Defense in Quarters 1-3 looked lazy and almost predictable for this spot (Game 1 vs. a #8 seed), their NBA Postseason opener.

In that Game 1 on Sunday here at the Quicken Loans Arena in Cleveland, Cavaliers Head Coach Lue had the now familiar quintet of C Tristan Thompson (2 points, 6 rebounds), PF Kevin Love (28 points, 14 rebounds), SF LeBron James (22 points, 11 assists , 6 rebounds), SG JR Smith (9 points, 2-7 on 3’s) at SG and PG Kyrie Irving (31 points) in his Starting Lineup for Cleveland (4/1 to win NBA Championship, GTBets).

Three of the Cleveland Starters did a pretty good job on the Offensive end of the floor but the Cavaliers will definitely need more Points (and more Rebounds) out of Findlay Prep (Las Vegas) product Thompson if he is going to keep starting over Timofey Mozgov (0 points, 0 Rebounds in 4:34 PT) and Smith must be better with his 3-point shooting. Getting just 11 points from those two Starters (Thompson, Smith) in 65:47 of Playing Time is unacceptable for a Home Playoff game and a big reason why Detroit can possibly win this Game 2 and make the series interesting.

 

Thoughts, Trends, Streaks, Recent Relevant Series Information and Game 2 ATS NBA pick
As written in the very last sentence above, the thought here is that Detroit could very well win this game and when you honestly think a team can win a game, then taking the 10 or 10½ points (Bookmaker) seems completely logical, even if one eats Chalk for Breakfast, Lunch and Dinner and lst bet an Underdog in 1947.

And even if some of the most logical and applicable Trends—Detroit being 1-4 ATS in its L5 Conference Quarterfinal (First Round) contests while the Playoff-savvy (and always waiting just for the Postseason) Cavaliers are now 15-7 in their L22 Conference Quarterfinal Games after Sunday’s Win but non-ATS cover—try to point you in the direction of the Math, sometimes trusting what you have to actually use Eyes, Heart and Emotions to get to the (theoretical and hopeful) better handicapping approach. And that exact philosophy certainly applies here.

A little Art over Science every once in awhile and LeBron James (25.3 ppg, 7.4 rpg, 6.8 apg) and Cleveland (5/14 to win Eastern Conference, GTBets) don’t have to win this game by 12. They just have to win it so as not to lose the Homecourt Advantage and so they can head to Detroit up 2-0. Just like the Master Plan, right Elmo?

And with the Center position being so non-productive in Game 1 for Cleveland and gunner Smith firing blanks, backing the energetic Pistons with Drummond in the middle and Morris, Harris, Caldwell-Pope, Johnson and Bullock all playing the best basketball of their young careers seems wise, especially if PG Jackson can produce like he did in Game 1, mature a little and not lose his head.

Detroit showed exactly why they deserve to be in these NBA Playoffs and why it’s such a nasty matchup for the Cavaliers. This series will be great, must-see TV.

Some pro-Cavaliers Trends for this game: The Cavaliers are now 5-1 ATS L6 when an Opponent allows 100+ Points in their Previous Game and 5-1 ATS their L6 when an Opponent has Scored 100+ Points in their Previous Game after Sunday’s 106-101 scoreline.

And, some pro-Pistons Trends: Cleveland is 26-54-1 ATS its L81 vs. the NBA Central (32.5%), Detroit is 8-1-1 ATS its L10 after an Opponent has allowed 100+ in Previous Game, 6-1 ATS their L6 versus a Team with a Winning Percentage above .600 and 5-1 ATS L6 both after allowing 100+ points in their previous game and against their own Central Division.

But the Pistons are 2-4 ATS their L6 following an ATS win. And here’s a simple but strong one: Detroit has now W4 straight ATS against Cleveland. And sometimes simpler is better.

Final Score Prediction: Cavaliers 97 Pistons 93

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Free NBA Pick: Pistons +10½
Best Line Offered: at Bookmaker

NBA Picks Record This Week: 0-0 — Last Week: 2-4 — Previous Week: 1-2

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