NBA Picks: Pistons & Celtics Odds Analysis

Swinging Johnson

Wednesday, April 3, 2013 12:09 PM UTC

Wednesday, Apr. 3, 2013 12:09 PM UTC

The Pistons have defeated the Celtics four consecutive times but will Boston break the spell and move one step closer towards a postseason playoff berth? Let's preview this matchup and decide where we should place our NBA picks.

Swinging Johnson - NBA Record (13-18,-22.9 units)

*Games assigned 1 to 5 units.


I know why touts lie. Oh you know too but it's more than just scrubbing the dirty record clean and starting fresh in order to attract new business. It's about having the opportunity to undo all the last minute scratches, head shaking calls and logic-defying decisions which lead to all those bad beats.

Well, I've got no such inkling to deceive because unlike my commissioned colleagues, I have not been affected by such things because I, on the other hand, have just-plain-sucked! Ta Daaaaa, yup that's my reason and I'm stickin' to it. It's been a tough year, 13-18, and almost 23 units in the red. 

Last trip out of the box, last Thursday if I recall, we added to the misery with a 1-2 night. While the Lakers done me wrong yet again when bowing to the Bucks, the Over 192 in the Pacers/Mavericks game flamed as well which cost us 2 and 3 units respectively. I'll have you know that in keeping with the year I'm having, neither came close to covering. Oh right, I did cash with the Sacramento Kings over the Suns for one lousy, stinkin' unit. But I'm not bitter. 

Detroit Pistons (25-50 SU, 34-41 ATS) 

Don't worry Pistons' fans, the end of your futile season draws nigh and then you can turn your attention to a real team, the Tigers. What's to say about a team mired in the NBA muck and having lost 13 of their last 15? Well, if you're a dewy-eyed optimist then you can consider their last two valiant attempts as they lost by one to the Bulls (but covered in your NBA picks as 8 ½ point road dogs) and defeated the Raptors outright 108-98 in Toronto as seven point underdogs. 

Hey, I'm just trying to help those poor, disillusioned Pistons fans who still worship at the altar of Bill Laimbeer and Isiah Thomas. It's a sad season but then again, look who's talking. In the world of NBA handicapping, I am the Detroit Pistons! But when you get the benefit of an eight point head start by the NBA odds makers, maybe they just might be worth a bet. Detroit has the advantage on the glass but that's pretty much where it begins and ends when matching up against Boston.

Boston Celtics (38-36 SU, 34-37-3 ATS) 

The Boston Celts are old, tired and injured. That's what happens when you pin your hopes to two aging stars and your young guns (Rondo and Sullinger) get sidelined for the season. It doesn't make for a pretty sight but despite all the turmoil, head coach Doc Rivers has once again done a masterful job hurdling the obstacles and making his team competitive.

The Green returns home after a two-game mini road trip which saw them get waxed by both the Knicks and the T'Wolves. They come back for some home cookin' to what should be a relatively easy victory over a Pistons team that has been looking at vacation destinations for some time. Paul Pierce was out for undisclosed reasons on Monday night against the Knicks but will play while Kevin Garnett continues to nurse an inflamed ankle and will be sitting out tonight.


The Pick:

Maybe the fact that the C's have dropped four consecutive games to the Pistons and scored an average of only 85 points per game in those contests will give them the foresight not to take Detroit lightly but that doesn't mean they'll necessarily get the cover. 

I backed this lousy Pistons squad about a month ago and paid the price as they got blown out by the Clippers. I hate to make the same mistake twice but I can't overlook an ailing Boston team giving up eight points who has lost four in a row to a team that has actually played about as well as they're able over their last two games. 

NBA Picks: Play the Detroit Pistons +8 for 2 units at Pinnacle.

Take a look at our NBA Picks of the Day for more free plays.

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