NBA Picks: Pick Clippers To Cover Spread As Home Favs Against Grizzlies

Joe Gavazzi

Tuesday, April 12, 2016 3:17 PM GMT

Tuesday, Apr. 12, 2016 3:17 PM GMT

The teams have matched up twice this year and turning to the history book, we find that Memphis is 12-2 ATS of late in this series, including 6 consecutive covers on the NBA Odds.

Memphis Grizzlies vs. LA Clippers
A look at the Western Conference NBA Playoff queue finds that the LA Clippers are locked into the No. 4 seed with a 52-28 SU record. Memphis is currently a ½ game behind Portland (in the win column) in their battle for 5th place. Of equal importance, Memphis is 1 game clear of Dallas in the loss column for the 6th spot, which means they would avoid facing San Antonio in the 1st Round.

It was not long ago that Memphis had a solid grasp on the 5th spot. But, injuries have ruined the last month of the season. Since the loss of Conley and Gasol, along with Allen (hamstring) tonight, the Grizz are on a run of 3-12 and 2-7 SU. On Saturday, Memphis hosted Golden St. in their LHG (last home game). The Grizz gave a valiant effort, losing (100-99) in a game they could have easily stolen in the closing seconds. Though a victory vs. the Clippers would aid their playoff seeding, Memphis may well be more interested in the rematch at Golden St. tomorrow night, when they will attempt to prevent the Warriors from the all-time season win record of 73 victories.

This line is clearly impacted for the fact the LA Clippers are locked into the 4th position in the Western Conference. Realizing that fact, HC Rivers may choose to rest some of his key cogs, including guards Paul, Reddick and Crawford. The other side of that coin is that LAC needs to continue to integrate Blake Griffin into the lineup, as they enter playoff action. So far, so good! With big Blake’s return, the Clippers have extended their current run that is now 9-1 and 5-0 SU. A better scenario might be that the Clippers’1st line players get some meaningful time together tonight in their LHG, then take a seat next to HC Rivers for the game 82 finale at Phoenix tomorrow night.

 

Betting Analysis
Even if LAC chooses to rest some key players, I feel there is still value in this line (they laid 10 at Memphis in the most recent meeting), as they catch a Memphis team, whose focus will be on their meeting with Golden St. tomorrow night. I invite you to put the NBA odds in your favor and join me in my NBA pick on the LA Clippers tonight.

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Free NBA Pick: LA Clippers -8
Best Line Offered: at Heritage

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