NBA Picks: Pelicans vs. Lakers

Tuesday, November 12, 2013 12:12 PM UTC

Tuesday, Nov. 12, 2013 12:12 PM UTC

The Los Angeles Lakers host the New Orleans Pelicans at the Staples Center. Find out where we have decided to place our NBA picks in the Tuesday night battle.

According to NBA odds New Orleans is a 3.5 point road favorite and the posted total is 198.0. New Orleans has covered 5 of their last 6 games on the road versus the Lakers. The road team has covered 22 of the last 30 in this series. These two teams have gone over the total in 13 of their last 18 meetings in Los Angeles.

Aging and Declining

This will be the 4th game in 6-days for the Lakers which can’t be an easy task for an aging team that lacks quality depth. In addition they will be without the services of Kobe Bryant who continues to recover from offseason surgery on his Achilles. The Lakers enter tonight having lost their last 2-games, including a 96-85 defeat at New Orleans last Thursday. In their most recent game they were blown out at home by Minnesota 113-90 on Sunday night. The Lakers have seen their last 3-games all go under the total, this all coming after starting the season going over the number in 4 of their first 5 on the year. In the last 3-games combined, the Lakers have shot a dismal 38.6% from the field, and a horrible 64.4% from the free throw line.

Three Point Masters

The Pelicans are currently the best three-point shooting team in the NBA converting on a sizzling 43.8% of their attempts. They’ve also been adept at the free throw line in the early part of the season making a stellar 82.0% of their chances which is good for 4th in the league. New Orleans has been sound defensively to start the year allowing 94.7 points per game through their first 7 contests. Those statistics certainly don’t equate to a team that’s started the season just 3-4. Like the Lakers, the Pelicans have gone under the total in their last 3-games.

[/]{"component":"oddswidget", "eventId":247342, "sportsbooksIds":[43], "LineTypeId":3, "PeriodTypeId":1}[/]

Final Analysis

Both of these teams have taken similar paths to start the season. Each club started the year by playing on the high side, and have made a 360-degree turn gone to the under in recent games. The Lakers have shot less than 40% from the field in 5 of their first 8-games of the season. The Pelicans have scored less than 100-points in 6 of their first 7-games. My lean for my NBA pick here is to the low side.

NBA Pick: Pelicans/Lakers to go under the total of 198.0

comment here