Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 6 of this Eastern Conference quarterfinal matchup, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN2.
Also check out my NBA Picks: Clippers vs. Grizzlies Game 6.
Indiana owns a 3-2 series lead thanks to a 106-83 blowout victory over Atlanta as seven-point home favorites in Game 5 Wednesday, while going OVER the total for the fourth time in five contests.
The Pacers are 5-2 straight up (SU) and 5-2 against the spread (ATS) off a home win of 20 or more points, with the UNDER going 4-3 in that situation.
Time to man up
Atlanta needs to play a physical brand of basketball in this affair, as it was out-rebounded by a sizable 51-28 margin last time out, which has led to a 48.6 to 39.0 disparity on the glass through five games in this best-of-seven series.
The Hawks 9-7 SUATS when revenging a loss after scoring 85 points or less, with the UNDER cashing in 10 of those 16 opportunities.
NBA handicappers are going to have a hard time backing the Pacers when looking over the odds page, considering the home team has covered the number in the first five games by an average of 12.4 points.
Indiana is also a dismal 1-10 SUATS as road underdogs of three points or less since the start of the 2012-13 regular season, while Atlanta is 5-1 SUATS when favored within that particular range.
House of Horrors
Perhaps the Hawks figured this series was destined to go the distance in the way they played Wednesday, especially since they’ve won 13 consecutive home games against the Pacers, while the home team is 22-7 ATS in the last 29 overall meetings.
The Pacers have averaged 108.7 points per game at home, while being held to 80.0 at this particular venue during the postseason.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Hawks as one of their NBA picks Friday night, as the Pacers are 5-14 ATS in their last 19 road games versus a home team that owns a winning percentage of .600 or greater.
NBA Pick: Atlanta Hawks -1.5 at Bet365