NBA Picks: Pacers vs. Clippers

Jordan Sharp

Monday, April 1, 2013 12:24 PM GMT

One of the better games of Monday night in the NBA is the Pacers still on their west coast road trip. Tonight they will play the Clippers, a team coming off a long road trip of their own.


The NBA Odds for this one favor the Clippers by -5, with a low total of 188. Let’s see if we can beat the books in this late night game.

[gameodds]5/223545/43/us[/gameodds]

When setting up my NBA picks for this game, I’m seeing the most betting value tonight in the Pacers actually, and I am taking the five points that most online sportsbooks are giving. I’m pretty concerned with the Clippers last four games, as they have lost three of them SU. Granted they were on the road, but they only put up 81 points against the Rockets who were without James Harden. That’s concerning at this point in the season.

The Pacers are coming into this game as the number one road defensive team, as their opponents only score 91 points per game when they are playing the Pacers at home. The Clippers are great defensively at home as well, giving up only 93 per game at home.

I think this will be a lower scoring and close game, but I have the Pacers at a shot to win it tonight. The Pacers are only giving up 94 points per game to their Western Conference opponents this season, while the Clippers only give up around 90 points per game to East teams. A lower scoring game will be won in the half court, and I think the Pacers are good and deep enough to get it done. Indiana is not bad ATS when on the road this season, but they are only 8-14 ATS when playing as road underdogs. 

Still I am not swayed. The Clippers may be starting to stumble into the playoffs, while the Pacers have played well, winning their last four in a row SU and going 3-1 ATS in their last four games. Take the points with Indy. 

My NBA Pick: Pacers +5 at 5Dimes

Also check out my NBA Picks: Monday Value Picks for more free plays.