For Thursday night's NBA action we head to Indiana where the Pacers take on the Memphis Grizzlies. We are going to look at a total play for this line.
NBA oddsmakers came out with this line around 186 to 187 and is a little bit different at different places across the board. You can get good odds at Pinnacle over 186.5 at -110. Get the best NBA odds you can, and I suggest for one of your NBA picks to back over the total of 186.5.
Last year the Pacers averaged 97.3 points per game, 53.4 rebounds per game, and shot 43.9% from the field. This is a much different looking team than last year and I look for Paul George to really take charge. Although they have been traditionally a defense first mindset team, this year I look for them to run a little bit more pace and space. It seems like they will play a bit of small ball this year with guys like Monta Ellis, Rodney Stuckey, George, and George Hill. They got some pretty good perimeter shooters which will have to perform because they don't have a much on the inside now after losing Roy Hibbert and David West.
Defensively the Pacers allowed 97 points per game, 51.3 rebounds per game, and opponents shot 43.5% from the field. Where they really excelled was within the paint being number one in points allowed at 38.3 per game. Again though, this is a different makeup of personnel and I think coach Frank Vogel will adjust to this fact. Look for Indiana to still play good defense but to push pace with the athletes they have is a little bit more.
Offensively Memphis averaged 97.9 points per game, 50.7 rebounds per game, and shot 45.4% from the field. They were number one in the NBA in points in the paint last year at 46.6 per game. You know what you get with the Memphis Grizzlies, an all-around solid team that plays good defense and works the interior with Marc Gasol and Zack Randolph. They have guys that can score and a really good point guard in Mike Conley so look for Indiana to push some pace and for Memphis to go ahead and run with them a bit.
Defensively Memphis allowed 95.2 points per game, 50 rebounds per game, and opponents shot 44.1% from the field. This is their bread-and-butter and they rank second in the NBA last year in points allowed. Tonight though I look for them to lean more on their offense as they're coming off a back to back. At the end of the year expect Memphis to be ranked in the top 10 statistically on the defensive end, but tonight expect them to move the ball on offense.
With both teams coming off a back to back the tendency would be to back the under thinking they might have some tired legs. But this is just the second game of the year and I am taking an opposite approach that I think they will be lacking a bit on the defensive end. I expect Indiana control the pace considering they are at home and for Memphis to roll right with them. For one of my NBA picks of the day I'm going to take over this low total in this matchup.
NBA Pick: Grizzlies vs. Pacers OVER 186.5 (-110) at Bookmaker