NBA Picks: Offenses To Be Put To Test When Knicks Host Raptors In Slow Tempo Affair

Charles Stark

Monday, February 22, 2016 11:42 AM GMT

We turn to New York for our NBA pick today. Will Toronto push tempo and lose some defensive intensity coming off a back to back, or will both teams continue to run at a slow pace?

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Free NBA Pick: Under 199
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

 

NBA Odds Overview
NBA odds have come out with the total on this game at 200.5 like at BetOnline -110. For my NBA pick today, I will back under the total as I don’t see the pace of this game moving quickly. Both teams have been better than average defensively and have better statistics on that side of the ball.

 

Toronto Raptors
Toronto is averaging 101.9 points per game while shooting 44.7% from the field, and allowing 97.7 points per game on 44.3% shooting from the field. On the season, they are 27-25-1 on their over under totals, and 13-11 on the road. I was a bit surprised by how poorly they played the second half versus Chicago and now they are coming into New York off a back to back. Yesterday they played against Memphis, which might carry over to tonight’s game on the scoring end. Offensively, they have some decent statistics highlighted by shooting 36.7% from beyond the arc. This team has a very different mindset when compared to last year where they really pushed the pace, this season they are only averaging 81.3 field goal attempts per game which ranks 27th in the league. Defensively, they have been solid and rank 4th, 5th, and 6th in opponent field goals attempted and made per game, as well as opponent two point shooting percentage respectively. They also don’t allow a lot of second chances allowing just 48.8 opponent total rebounds per game which ranks third in the NBA.

 

New York Knicks
The Knicks average 99.2 points per game while shooting 43.9% from the field, and allow101.3 points per game on 44.4% shooting from the field. On the season, they are 28-28-1 overall on their over under totals, and 14-14 at home. New York came out of the break winning their first game out of their last eight on the road at Minnesota. The last time they faced Toronto was north of the border where they lost 103-93, and I don’t see these teams going over that total tonight. Like Toronto, New York does not push the pace that much offensively, attempting just 84.1 shots per game which ranks 17th in the league. Statistically, across the board, they rank in the bottom part of the league in all shooting percentage categories and they rank 20th in the league, making 37 field goals per game. Defensively, they have played well all season statistically ranking 8th in both opponent shooting efficiency and field goal percentage. As well, they rank fourth in the NBA allowing just 20.6 assists per game. It will be interesting who they hire in the future because this team, despite their record, has some good pieces to go forward with.

This game has all the makings of a slow paced affair with a premium on defense. For one of your NBA picks, I recommend backing under the total considering as well that both teams rely more on their defense than their offense. Expect a tough and close battle that will be decided in the fourth quarter.