NBA Picks: Nuggets vs. Trail Blazers

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, February 27, 2013 12:40 PM GMT

Wednesday, Feb. 27, 2013 12:40 PM GMT

Let’s take a closer look at this Western Conference affair from a betting perspective, which will allow us to create a handicapper line before a number pops up on the SBR Odds page.


The home team has won 12-straight games in the series between the Denver Nuggets and Portland Trail Blazers, as the two teams prepare to meet at the Rose Garden Wednesday night.

Potential sandwich game

Denver lands in a tough spot situationally, as it comes off a convincing 119-108 victory over the Los Angeles Lakers as 7.5-point home favorites Monday night, while looking ahead to hosting the Oklahoma City Thunder on March 1.

The Nuggets are 7-4 straight up and against the spread (ATS) in February, while the OVER is 9-2 in that span.

Blazers need to go on a run

Portland needs to put together some sort of winning streak if it hopes to participate in the 2013 NBA playoffs, as it sits four games back of the Houston Rockets for the eighth spot in the Western Conference.

The Trail Blazers put an end to a seven-game losing streak last time out, as they captured a 92-86 victory over the Boston Celtics as two-point home favorites Sunday.  

The franchise is 3-8 straight up and 4-7 ATS this month.

Home-court advantage dominates this series

NBA handicappers definitely need to be aware that the home team has won 12-straight games in this series, which has played a big part in the favorite going 13-4 ATS in the last 17 meetings overall.

It’s also important to note that the winning team has scored over the century mark in seven consecutive meetings, with both sides reaching that number in three of those affairs.

Fast-break opportunities

In my opinion, the Nuggets deserve to be sent out as road favorites in this matchup due to their ability to score points in transition, as they lead the NBA in averaging 19.4 fast-break points per game.  Denver has outscored Portland by a 53-14 combined margin in that category in the first two meetings of the 2012-13 campaign.

[gameodds]5/219635/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

NBA oddsmakers haven’t released a number on this game due to Nuggets leading scorer Danilo Gallinari (thigh) being listed as questionable, which isn’t a huge concern due to the massive edge that Denver has in this game in terms of bench play.

I’ve established the Nuggets as 2.5-point road favorites in this affair (with Gallinari in the lineup), which means they should attract your wager at a number of two or lower in the betting market, while the Trail Blazers would be the NBA pick as home underdogs of three or higher.

Handicapper's Line - Free NBA Picks: Denver Nuggets -2.5

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