NBA Picks: Nuggets vs. Rockets

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, January 23, 2013 2:40 PM GMT

The Denver Nuggets have won four straight meetings with the Houston Rockets. They prepare to meet again Wednesday night at the Toyota Center and we'll be ready to make money with our NBA betting.

 

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting odds for this Western Conference matchup.

Huge win last time out

Denver could be in a bit of a let-down spot after capturing a 121-118 overtime win over the Oklahoma City Thunder as one-point home underdogs Sunday, while going OVER the total for a fifth consecutive contest.  The Nuggets are 2-5 against the spread (ATS) when playing with two days rest, with the OVER cashing in five of those opportunities.  The franchise will open up a six-game homestand after this affair.

Fortunate

Houston was very fortunate in playing the Charlotte Bobcats last time out, as it managed to snap a season-high seven-game losing streak—earning a 100-94 victory as seven-point road favorites Monday afternoon.  The Rockets are 0-8 ATS in their last eight games, while they’ve faced a double-digit deficit in their last 11 overall.

Series history

Sports bettors will find the Nuggets to be dangerous road underdogs when looking over the pro basketball odds page, considering they’ve covered four of their last five trips to the Lone Star State in this series.  Denver came away with a 93-87 win as 2.5-point road underdogs in the first meeting this season on Nov. 7, which fell well below the posted total of 204.5.  

Lawson is the player to watch

Ty Lawson doesn’t get a lot of publicity in the Mile High City, but the Nuggets point guard has excelled against the Rockets—scoring 20 or more points in his last four games in this series.  The former North Carolina Tar Heels star is averaging 14.4 points and 6.8 assists per game.  Lawson finished with a game-high 21 points and eight assists in the first meeting with Houston.

Could be an underdog trap?

I was a bit surprised to find the Rockets favored in this matchup—but definitely not shocked due to their 14-7 overall record at home this season.  Houston has won and covered the spread in four of its five games when favored by three points or less at the Toyota Center this year, with the UNDER going 4-1 in that situation.  It’s still important to note that the franchise is 8-22-1 ATS in its last 31 games versus conference foes.

[gameodds]5/134681/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Nuggets as one of their NBA picks Wednesday night, as I established the betting odds as a pick’ em for this affair.  Denver matches up really well with Houston, and will improve to 18-5 ATS on the road when the total is greater than or equal to 210 since 2010.

NBA Free Picks: Denver Nuggets +2 at 5Dimes