NBA Picks: Nuggets vs. Mavericks

Joe Catalano

Friday, April 12, 2013 5:39 PM GMT

Friday, Apr. 12, 2013 5:39 PM GMT

The Dallas Mavericks host the Denver Nuggets, and while Denver is pretty much assured of a number 3 spot in the West, the Mavs are 3.5 games behind the Lakers with 4 games to go in the regular season.

Let’s break down this matchup and decide where the best value lies for our NBA picks.

The NBA odds makers at 5Dimes Sportsbook list Denver as a 2.5 point betting favorite and the total for the game is 206.

[gameodds]5/224562/43/us[/gameodds]

Denver has been relentless all season. They’re currently riding a 5 game winning streak and although they are unbeatable at home, Dallas could be in for a long night against the men in powdered blue.

No Gallo, No Problem

Losing Danillo Gallinari and his 16 points and 5 rebounds per game could be a problem for most teams, but not Denver. At times they seem to be congested with good but not great players. With Gallinari out of the way, this gives another player a chance to step up and build on this winning streak.

Triple Double For Iggy

Wednesday, Andre Iguodala had his opportunity to step up in a 96-86 win over the San Antonio Spurs. Iguodala isn’t a guy that’s going to give Denver 30 points; he provides the intangibles with his hustle.

It showed on Wednesday when he had 12 points, 10 assists, and 13 rebounds. In the game prior to this against Houston, Iguodala was just 3 rebounds short of another triple-double. This is the type of unselfish player that a teams needs to be a consistent winner. Iggy did it in Philly and he’s doing it for the Rocky Mountain state.

Look for Iguodala to play well against Dallas. He’s too athletic and Dallas is an old basketball team.

It’s Over?

I failed to mention that Ty Lawson will be out for this game, but it simply doesn’t matter. Dallas is coming off of a demoralizing loss to the Phoenix Suns in which they helped the Suns stop their 10 game home losing streak in the process. The Mavs are playing for pride, but this aging team needs a makeover for next season.

Dirk’s Done?

Let’s face it. Dirk Nowitzki hasn’t been the same player since he won the championship against Lebron and the boys.

Yes, Nowitzki is getting older, but I think that he’s gotten complacent with the one NBA title that he won and doesn’t have the motivation anymore.

Unfortunately for Dallas, owner, Marc Cuban has stated that Nowitzki is a Maverick for life. Loyalty equals future losses if that’s the case.Dirk doesn’t have the hops to keep up with a fast pace, high scoring Nuggets team and Denver will run him ragged.

Nowitzki is coming off of a 21 point , 8 rebound game against Phoenix. In order for Dallas to win this game, Nowitzki must score 20 points or more. You heard it here.

Hold the Mayo

O.J. Mayo is a rather soft and inconsistent basketball player. You can see that his statistics have dropped as the season has went on. He was a bench player for the Grizzlies and he wasn’t good enough to play there. This isn’t a player that Dallas can count on and he’s a streaky player. If ever there was a time for O.J. to light it up, it would be against the ferocious offense of Denver.

Mayo is averaging just 8.4 points and 36.2% from the field shooting. Can we say that he’s thrown in the towel and left the dirty work to Vince Carter and Shawn Marion?

Outcome

You would think that Denver has no chance without Gallinari and Lawson, but they just keep finding ways to win and Dallas is an awful team. Look for the Nuggets to extend their winning streak to 6 as they cover the small point spread here.

NBA Pick- Denver- 2.5 at 5 Dimes

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