NBA Picks: Nuggets vs. Boston

Steven Suarez

Sunday, February 10, 2013 1:49 PM GMT

Sunday, Feb. 10, 2013 1:49 PM GMT

Two hot teams meet up in TD Garden this evening, with the Celtics playing host to the Nuggets. Do we like an ATS pick here, or is a play on the total the best road to take with our sports picks?

Nuggets vs. Celtics

Odds Overview

Boston enters this game as the two-point favorite on the NBA odds board, and their backers will be hoping they can improve on their 20-26-3 ATS overall mark this season. The visiting Nuggets have been red-hot in that regard at 31-20 ATS.

Wanting to take some action on the total? The O/U can be found at 202.5, with the UNDER having gone 5-2 in the previous seven head-to-head meetings between these two squads.

Denver Nuggets

The Nuggets are the league's hottest team right now, having won nine straight games coming into tonight’s contest. In those matchups they've gone 8-1 ATS.

Last night they took care of Cleveland 111-103 and cashed as six-point favorites on the road. It didn't matter that Denver turned the ball 20 times or that Ty Lawson was only 3-of-11 from the floor. The Nuggets out-scored the Cavaliers 62-32 in the paint and 19-5 in fast break points, while shooting 50.0 percent overall from the field 

Danilo Gallinari had 19 points and nine boards and Kenneth Faried provided his usual high-energy antics with 17 points and seven rebounds, but it was actually George Karl's bench that made the biggest difference.

Andre Miller, Wilson Chandler, Corey Brewer and JaVale McGee combined for 40 points off the bench. Miller had 10 points, six boards and five assists, while McGee was incredibly efficient with 13 points, four rebounds and four blocks in only 18 minutes of action.

All in all, you've been a very happy camper if you've been selecting Denver with your NBA picks. They've cashed ATS in five straight games and come into TD Garden having gone 10-3 ATS in their last 13 when playing on no days of rest.

Boston Celtics

Giving Denver a run for their money for league's hottest team, the Celtics have reeled off six consecutive wins both straight up and against the spread.

Boston has been off since Thursday night's 116-95 beatdown of the L.A. Lakers on national television. The Celtics crushed the NBA betting lines as small home favorites, jumping out to a 14-point lead by halftime and never looking back.

Playing at a quicker pace, Boston was running circles around the Lakers all game long. The Celtics connected on 52.9 percent of their shots overall, with Paul Pierce finishing with 24 points, seven boards and six assists and five other players reaching double figures.

You've really got to love what Boston has been doing since Rajon Rondo went down with a season-ending injury. Everyone is stepping up and the Celtics are playing great team ball.

Just how great? Well, Boston's been making a lot of money for their backers, covering in six straight overall and in five consecutive home contests too.

[gameodds]5/217738/43/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick 

We aren't going with a spread play here, as both teams are hot and we don't want to go against either one.

In place of an ATS pick, we believe the OVER has some good value attached to it. It's a trend that's gone 13-3 in Denver's last 16 games overall and 5-2 in Boston's past seven.

It's common knowledge how fast the Nuggets like to get up and down the court, and these days the Celtics are playing a similar brand of basketball, at least on the offensive end. With Rondo out, Doc Rivers has been using a bigger rotation to fill the gaps. Guys like Courtney Lee, Jason Terry, Jeff Green and Leandro Barbosa are getting more run and Boston has been able to adopt a quicker tempo as a result.

Taking everything into account, we will be adding the OVER to our sports picks for the day.

Free Picks: OVER 202.5

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