Adjustment battle; advantage Nets
It’s all about making subtle adjustments in these long seven game series, and a big adjustment happened Friday night with Alan Anderson coming into the starting lineup for the Nets. He had a big game for the Nets on both the offensive and defensive end, and he helped out defending the guard tandem in Toronto very well.
Anderson played well in 31 minutes of action scoring nine points, (no threes) grabbing nine boards, and dishing out three assists. Even though he did not make a three pointer, the former Raptor’s shooting ability from deep is much better than Shaun Livingston. Plus, Anderson is just as tall as Livingston, yet he weighs in at 220. He is plenty big enough to stay with Kyle Lowry, or bully up on DeMar DeRozan if Joe Johnson needs a break.
Alas, the NBA Odds still have the Raptors as favorites in Game 7, but not by much at -3. While I do think the Nets have value ATS, I would much rather place a small wager on the moneyline. Besides, you can do that, along with my pick for this contest.
At 189 ½, the total is much too high for what should be one of the most defensive Game 7’s on the schedule this weekend. Not only is this game an early start on Sunday afternoon, but it’s also a Game 7, and both teams have shown at different times throughout the series that they can play defense. If they both can put it together for an entire game, we might not see either team score much more than 90 points each by the end.
All in all, these two teams should slow the game down from the previous two matchups, and I think it could lead to the under being the play.
The Sharp Pick
Two of the last three matchups in this series have gone under the total, and if Game 7 is anything like Game 6 for Toronto, you can bet they will be staying home after Sunday afternoon, and the total will likely fall under again. Toronto’s 83 points were a series low, and if Brooklyn truly has figured out the Raptors, I doubt they get much more than that in Game 7.
Even though they’re banged up, this is where one of the chapters of the book on the Raptors will end. They will either advance in the playoffs for the first time in 13 years, or fall victim to the dinosaurs. This should motivate everyone on the Raptors, and even if the shots aren’t falling, they should play big on defense back at home.
Brooklyn has a solid road defense, and with some of their guys like, Deron Williams banged up too, this game just screams old school to me. I’m looking for a final score of somewhere around the low to mid nineties for both squads, and for the under to take us to the bank.
My Pick: UNDER 189 ½