The Indiana Pacers have won five consecutive home games against the Brooklyn Nets, as the two Eastern Conference rivals meet Monday night at Bankers Life Fieldhouse in Indianapolis.
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Brooklyn has lost two games in a row, including a 111-86 blowout defeat to the San Antonio Spurs as 2.5-point home underdogs last night, while going OVER the posted total of 194.5. The Nets will try to build some type of momentum heading into the NBA All-Star break, but they’ve gone 10-19-1 against the spread (ATS) in February the last two-plus seasons.
Quite a stretch
Indiana received a much needed two-day break, as it suffered a 100-98 overtime loss to the Toronto Raptors as seven-point home favorites last time out, which directly followed the only back-to-back-to-back situation that a team has played this year in the NBA.
Looing at the NBA odds, the Pacers deserve a long look, being that they’ve gone 12-2 ATS following a straight-up loss this year, which includes covering the spread by an average of 9.4 points on average when playing at home in that situation.
I’ve never been a big fan of backing an NBA team in their final road game before the All-Star break, especially when that side has enjoyed little success at a particular venue. Brooklyn has lost five games in a row in Indianapolis, while the underdog is 7-19 ATS in the last 26 meetings in this series.
With that being said, the Nets have won and covered the spread in their last two games against the Pacers, including a 97-86 win as 4.5-point home favorites on Jan. 13, while going OVER the posted total of 181.
Quite a disparity
The Pacers are definitely playing some of their best basketball of the 2012-13 campaign, as they’ve held a 102.6 to 92.4-point advantage over their last five opponents, while the Nets have been outscored by 8.4 points in the same span.
From a situational standpoint, Indiana has covered the number in six of its last eight games with two days rest, while Brooklyn is 4-10 ATS when playing without a day off.
I’m going to recommend that readers back the Pacers as one of their NBA picks against the spread, as the Nets are 0-3 SU and 1-2 ATS as road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points. You’re definitely paying a premium on the host due to the recent performances of each side, but Brooklyn may start peeking ahead to some time off.
NBA Pick: Indiana Pacers -8 at BetOnline
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