NBA Picks: Nets vs. Heat Game 2 Playoffs

Wednesday, May 7, 2014 2:49 PM UTC

Wednesday, May. 7, 2014 2:49 PM UTC

After a long and gruesome series with the Raptors, the Nets were not ready for the rested champs in Game 1. Could we see a more competitive Game 2, or will Miami win and cover with ease once again?
<p style="text-align:center"> <style type="text/css"><!-- td {border: 1px solid #ccc;}br {mso-data-placement:same-cell;} --></style> <span style="font-size:100.0%;font-family:arial,sans,sans-serif;font-weight:bold;font-style:normal;text-decoration:none;color:#000000;text-align:left"><iframe width="560" height="330" src="" frameborder="0" allowfullscreen></iframe></span></p> <p><b>Another bump in the road<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">The Nets may have had success against the Heat in the regular season, but as I mentioned in both my <a href="/picks/nba/nba-picks-nets-vs-heat-game-1/39321/" title="Read over my winning NBA Pick for Game 1" target="_blank">Game 1 </a>play on this series, as well as <a href="/picks/nba/nba-picks-nets-vs-heat-series-price-odds/39314/" title="Indulge in my Nets vs. Heat Series Price Odds" target="_blank">the series article</a>, the postseason is a whole different animal. This is especially true when you’re dealing with <a href="/picks/nba/nba-betting-miami-heat-plans-2013-14/33445/" title="We dig deep into the Heat to find the true value and make predictions" target="_blank">the Miami Heat</a>, who seem to have that rare ability to flip a switch on when they really want to play hard.</span></p> <p>That could be one of the reasons Miami dominated the Nets so badly in Game 1, and now the NBA odds are going up. The spread is at -8 in favor of the Heat, with a total of 192. Even though we easily cashed on Tuesday night by placing <a href="/picks/nba/" title="For all your NBA betting needs, look no further than SBR" target="_blank">our NBA pick</a> on the Heat, now that the spread is higher, does that lessen the value?</p> <p>I think it does. The Nets should come out much more focused on the defensive end of the floor, and I expect their intensity to pick up some on that end as well. Playing solid defense is the only thing that will keep <a href="/picks/nba/nba-betting-brooklyn-nets-offseason-team-report/32468/" title="Brooklyn Nets Offseason Team Report" target="_blank">Brooklyn competitive</a> in this series, but even that may not be enough.</p> <p>I do think it will give the total a lot of value in Game 2, and at 192, the total looks ripe for an 'under' bet. Not only do I think the defense will be much more engaged in Game 2, but the total is a little high. Despite the game <a href="" title="For a humorously valuable debate on the Nets vs. Heat Games visit the forum" target="_blank">getting out of hand early on Tuesday</a>, the total still didn’t go over by more than a point or two. Assuming the Heat don’t run away with this one in the second half and score 61 points again after halftime, this total looks primed for an 'under' wager on Thursday. </p> <p> </p> <p><b>The Sharp Pick<br /></b><span style="font-size:1em">Even though the 'over' cashed in Game 1, the total has still gone 'under' in two of the last three meetings between these two, and as I mentioned above, the total barely cashed the 'over' in Game 1. In fact, before Game 1 of this series, the 'under' had cashed in the last five straight times these two had played one another in Miami.</span></p> <p style="text-align:center"><em><span style="font-size:1em"><a href="/picks/nba/" title="Picks, previews and analysis by expert handicappers from SBR" target="_blank">For more details on the best NBA Picks, click here.</a></span></em></p> <p>I think the Nets will have to make some more adjustments if they want to put themselves in a position to tie this series heading back to the borough. The adjustment last series of moving Alan Anderson into the starting lineup not only helped their defense some, but their shooting as well which was not good in Game 1. If Anderson moved back into the staring lineup, it might help <a href="" title="A bettor claims that the Heat gave the Nets a whooping to make a statement" target="_blank">their defense</a> on Dwyane Wade as well as Ray Allen who both had good Game 1’s.</p> <p>Either way, the <a href="" title="A post in the SBR Forum claims: Nets to beat Miami Heat" target="_blank">Nets will not allow the Heat</a> to run all over them again here, and I expect a much better defensive game from the Nets. The Heat will continue to be engaged defensively, and it should lead to the 'under' having a lot of value on Thursday. </p> <p>[gameodds]5/286082/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]</p> <p><b>Free NBA Pick: </b>Bet 'Under' 192.</p>
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