NBA Picks: Nets & Nuggets to go 'Under'

Jeff Grant

Friday, March 29, 2013 11:28 AM GMT

The Brooklyn Nets are one road win away from establishing a new franchise record, but they’ll have a hard time accomplishing that feat against the Denver Nuggets at the Pepsi Center. Where are we placing our NBA picks on this game's total?

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA betting odds for this non-conference affair that tips off at 9:00 p.m. ET in the Mile High City.

Scoring is up 

Brooklyn has averaged 108.0 points in the first five games of an eight-game road trip, which includes a 111-93 victory over the Portland Trail Blazers as 3.5-point underdogs Wednesday night, while going OVER the total in eight consecutive contests.

The Nets are 0-8 straight up (SU) and 2-6 against the spread (ATS) when playing on the road with a betting total between 205 and 209.5 the last two-plus seasons. 

Back to Earth 

Denver has dropped two in a row after putting together a team record-tying 15-game winning streak, which includes a 100-99 setback to the San Antonio Spurs as 6.5-point road underdogs Wednesday night, while going UNDER the total for a fourth consecutive affair. 

The Nuggets are 8-1 SU and 6-3 ATS as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points during the 2012-13 NBA season, while the OVER is 6-3 in that situation.

Success on the road

The Nets can set the franchise record for most road wins in a season with a victory in this spot, which makes them an attractive option when making your NBA betting picks Friday night.

Brooklyn has dropped its last five trips to the Pepsi Center by an average of 13.2 points, but has still compiled a 7-3 ATS record in its last 10 road games in this non-conference series.

Dominance

Denver will look to improve upon its 32-3 overall record at home in this spot, as it has outscored opponents by an average of 10.2 points per game inside this venue.  The Nuggets are 34-16-1 ATS in their last 51 home games versus a team with a winning road record.

[gameodds]5/223317/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their sports betting picks Friday, as the UNDER is 4-1 in the Nets’ five games as road underdogs of 6.5 to 9 points this season, while the Nuggets will likely play without the services of point guard Ty Lawson (heel).

NBA Pick:  Under 204.5 at Sports Interaction

For another take on this game's spread, check out Joe Freda's NBA Picks: Nets vs. Nuggets article.