NBA Picks: NBA Odds Preview for Thursday

Swinging Johnson

Thursday, April 4, 2013 12:22 PM GMT

We hit it last night! Can we do it again tonight and fatten that wallet back up? Let's asses the odds and make NBA Picks for the Mavericks-Nuggets and Spurs-Thunder.

Tonight we feature the Dallas Mavericks struggling to stay in contention for a postseason berth as they travel to Denver and then a clash of Western Conference titans collide when the Thunder looks to roll over the Spurs in our NBA betting odds preview.

Swinging Johnson - NBA Record (14-18,-20.9 units)

*Games assigned 1 to 5 units.

Update:

By God we cashed a ticket! Last night the Pistons kept pace with the Celtics and covered the number as six to eight point dogs depending on where and when you placed your bet. We caught the oddsmakers napping early as we hopped on that money train with Pinnacle dealing us a generous +8 which was more than enough as the Pistons lost the game 98-93 but allowed us to chip two units from the rather large hole we've dug. Let's see if we can do it all over again tonight. 

Dallas Mavericks (36-38 SU, 41-32-1 ATS) vs. Denver Nuggets (51-24 SU, 46-29 ATS) 

While the Mavericks were still licking their wounds from the thrashing they received on Tuesday night at the hands of the Lakers, the Nuggets were on the court last night as three point underdogs to their hosts, the Utah Jazz. Funny, when I think of Utah I think of women in prairie dresses and a lot of daily prayers and readings from the Good Book. What I don't think of is a whole lotta jazz but I digress. 

Both teams have been kind to their backers this season as reflected in their ATS record but while the Nuggets will battle in the postseason, it appears the Mavs are destined to watch the playoffs from their living rooms just like the rest of us. Denver has been virtually invincible at home, winning 18 consecutive games on their home court and posting a record of 33-3 (25-11 ATS) while averaging 108 PPG in front of the home crowd. 

When last these teams met, Denver snapped a 3-game skid against the Mavs with a 106-85 victory in Dallas. I'm not so sure this game will be as lopsided as point guard Ty Lawson is still sidelined with a planta fascia tear and Denver is coming off a big win last night while Dallas rested. Normally these teams play tight and with Dallas fighting for their playoff lives, they should hang around in this one. 

Play Dallas +7 for 3 units at Legends for you NBA picks

[gameodds]5/223835/93-43-19-999996-92/us[/gameodds]

San Antonio Spurs (56-19 SU, 39-34-2 ATS) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (54-20 SU, 43-29-2 ATS)

Eight points seems like a bunch, too big a bunch, to give the top team in the Western Conference. But the NBA oddsmakers know a thing or two about this game and they're probably counting on suckers like me to dive in head first and bet the rent on the Spurs.

But it's got me thinking and after doing a little homework, I know that the Thunder has been resting up for this big red circle on their calendar for four days now while San Antonio had to dispose of the Magic last night 98-84 and then hop a plane to visit their friends in Oklahoma City.

Kevin Durant and company has outscored the Spurs by an average of 12 points over their last four games at home, all of which were victories. But the only game they've hosted this season was a 107-93 dismantling of San Antonio on December 17th. The Spurs returned the favor when they notched a win on March 11th with a dominating 105-93 victory.

So who's the right side here? Looks like the Thunder should win after all that R&R while the Spurs were battling last night. But the eight points has me scratching my head. I'm vexed I tell you! Call me a square but I'm grabbing the points. It is, after all, the San Antonio Spurs we're talkin' 'bout here.

Play San Antonio +8 for 1 unit at Bookmaker for your NBA betting, Thursday night

[gameodds]5/223836/93-43-19-999996-92/us[/gameodds]