NBA Picks: Most Valuable ATS & Total Plays For All Star Game

Jordan Sharp

Sunday, February 14, 2016 3:01 PM GMT

Sunday, Feb. 14, 2016 3:01 PM GMT

Both teams are quite stacked and neither of which will want to lose this one, but with the NBA Odds favoring the West at -5½, does the East stand a chance to cover?

All Star Weekend is almost over, and tonight the grand finale is set to take place as East meets West for bragging rights to the rest of the season. Let's review the most valuable plays for the game...

 

The Spread
It’s no surprise to see the West as solid favorites ATS in this one. The Western Conference has now won four of the last five All Star Games coming into this one in Toronto, and furthermore if you go back even further than that, the West has won an astonishing 10 out of the last 16 games.

While the spread has basically stayed the same from where it opened in the NBA All Star odds boards, it will be interesting to see the style of game put forth by both of these clubs. The West definitely has the stronger roster, and the roster more capable of getting into a run and gun battle with the East. When this game inevitably turns from friendly exhibition to game that both teams want to win, the West’s superiority in shooting the ball and running the fast break might be too much for the East to handle.

With a team of Stephen Curry, Kevin Durant and Russell Westbrook, along with Kawhi Leonard and Draymond Green, the West is simply too versatile. They can go big and bring in the likes of LaMarcus Aldridge or DeMarcus Cousins, or go small and outpace the East team. While the East is a solid unit, the loss of Jimmy Butler and Chris Bosh takes a lot of their versatility away. Bosh would have given them the ability to go small and play center against Green or someone like him, but now the East’s only option when going small in this one will be hoping that Andre Drummond is up for the challenge. The rest of the East’s bigs are not that mobile or undersized, and it’s going to be very hard for them to matchup at times with the deadly and diverse West lineup.

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Free All Star Pick: West -5½
Best Line Offered: at BetOnline

 

The Total
The total is always fun to bet because it’s so high, and it’s almost certainly going over. However, at 320 points, you have to stop and think about what kind of game we are going to see. However, a total of well over 300 points is something that is very hard to go over, even in a fake game. In All Star Games of the past, the final game total has gone over 300 points in the last three out of four games, but before that, the total didn’t touch 300 in eight straight games. In fact, before the last three of four, you have to go all the way back to the double overtime game in 2003 to see a total that hit 300.

While the possibility of a higher scoring game where dunks are plentiful is always the case, I am seeing some value on another NBA All Star picks in the first half total of 164.5 from Bet365. The start to this game will be all fun and games, and if the score is going to be run up at any time, it will be in the beginning of the game where no defense is being played. Last season, the first half score was 83-82, and if we see another high scoring first half, the first half over will be a nice All Star wager.

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Free All Star Pick: Over 164.5 1H
Best Line Offered: at Pinnacle

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