NBA Picks: Monday Playoff Picks & Predictions

Joe Freda

Monday, May 6, 2013 11:38 AM GMT

Free NBA picks for Monday night's playoff matchups. Have the NBA odds makers left us any value on the boards tonight.

Monday’s NBA betting has a pair of conference semifinal sets getting underway, with some heavy ‘chalk’ being set by odds makers. The Miami Heat continue defense of their current crown, hosting the Chicago Bulls, while the Golden State Warriors head south to meet the San Antonio Spurs.

What are the best NBA picks to place tonight, as the second round of the playoffs heats up?

Chicago Bulls at Miami Heat 

The Chicago Bulls survived last week’s seven-game series with the Brooklyn Nets, coming away with a 99-93 upset as road dogs in Saturday’s clincher. Bulls mates Joakim Noah and Marco Belinelli notched 24 points each, with Noah adding 14 rebounds and six blocks.

Miami has been idle since April 28, sweeping the Milwaukee Bucks in their first round of postseason action. The Heat cashed with a 3-1 spread record over the four contests, allowing a tight 85.2 PPG. 

Chicago and Miami split their season matchups with 2-2 marks, both SU and ATS. The most recent duel took place April 14, with the Heat coming out on top as 9 ½-point home favorites in a 105-93 win. 

The NBA odds opened Miami as an 11 ½-point favorite for Monday’s affair, while first setting the ‘total’ at 186. Bulls forward Luol Deng (16.5 PPG) has missed two straight games with an illness and is “questionable” to return here, while Heat guard Dwayne Wade (21.2 PPG) is “probable” to play after recovering from a knee injury. 

I am backing the OVER here with my sports picks, looking for this set to start with some octane. Chicago’s drained defense should lead to some back-and-forth baskets here, while Miami has shot 40.4 percent beyond the arc at home this year . 

The OVER is 3-1-1 in Miami’s last five home dates, while cashing at 4-1 clip in the Bulls’ last five spots that came after a victory.

NBA Pick:  OVER 186 at Bookmaker.eu

[gameodds]5/228700/43/us[/gameodds]

Golden State Warriors at San Antonio Spurs

San Antonio disposed of the Los Angeles Lakers in four straight battles last week, putting up 104 PPG en route to a 4-0 ATS mark. Last Sunday’s finale saw Spurs mates Tony Parker and Manu Ginobili combine for 31 points and 10 assists, cruising to a 103-82 spanking as 11-point road ‘chalk.’ 

Golden State needed six games to get past the Denver Nuggets in their first round matchup, reeling off a 6-0 spread record over the stretch. Thursday’s 92-88 victory clinched the set for the Warriors as two-point home ‘chalk,’ outrebounding Denver by a 55-44 margin. 

Golden State collected at 3-1 ATS in its four regular-season meetings with the Spurs, while the span’s pair of matchups in San Antonio both dipped UNDER the ‘total.’ The foes last met on April 15, when the Warriors logged a 116-106 win as six-point home favorites, with Spurs veteran Tim Duncan sitting out. 

San Antonio opened as an eight-point favorite at 5Dimes.eu for Monday’s clash, while the ‘total’ was first posted at 201. Early wagers on the Spurs and OVER drove the numbers north to 8 ½ and 201 ½, respectively.

I am adding a ticket on Golden State here, staying on the Warriors’ train after backing them in Game 5 and Game 6 against Denver. Mark Jackson’s club is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 affairs against Western Conference foes, while collecting with a 6-2 spread record in its last eight games on three or more days of rest.

San Antonio comes in fully-loaded here, but has been overvalued at 2-6 ATS in its last eight duels that came after a spot scoring 100 points or more. The Spurs proved to be no match for a depleted Lakers’ squad, but have a 0-4 spread record in their last four contests against foes with winning records.

NBA Pick:  Golden State Warriors + 8 ½ at 5Dimes.eu

[gameodds]5/228528/43/us[/gameodds]