Suns vs. 76ers
The Suns got a tough road win over the Cavs last night, and now they travel into Philadelphia on their second game in as many nights. The NBA Odds favor the Suns at -5, and while I think the back to back will have its affects, I doubt it hurts the Suns ability to score the ball. The Suns’ tired legs may influence their defense tonight, and I think there’s a play on the total, which sits at 213.
The Sixers are giving up over 109 points per game this season at home, and I expect the pace of this game to be very fast. The Sixers lead the league in pace while the Suns are tied for 7th, and off the back to back, Philadelphia is going to run on every missed shot in order to try and take advantage of the Suns game yesterday. There likely won’t be a lot of inside play from either one of these two teams, so look for the three pointer to be in play a lot tonight.
The Sixers are giving up over 111 points per game to Western Conference teams, and with the best three point shooting team in the NBA coming to town, it doesn’t look good for the Sixers, who are the worst three point defensive team in the league. 213 is a couple of points too low in tonight’s game, and while the spread is enticing, I see the 'over' as being the safer and more valuable option for our NBA picks tonight.
My Pick: OVER 213
Clippers vs. Bucks
The NBA Odds have the Clippers as -9 favorites in this one, with a total of 198 ½. Milwaukee is only averaging 88 points per game when playing at home this year, which is dead last in the league. If they can’t score against predominantly East teams, than the Clippers should have no problem limiting them tonight. LA owns the battle down low, and I fully expect them to outrebound Milwaukee with ease tonight. Los Angeles will have all the easy baskets in the game, and their size advantage in the post for this one is going to lead to -9 being the play.
The Clippers are 12-9 ATS against the Eastern Conference this season, and while the Milwaukee defense is not bad at all, they won’t be able to stop the Clippers, even without Chris Paul. LA should get north of 100 points rather easily, and a blowout is likely considering the Bucks have scored 78 and 87 points in their last two games respectfully.
The Clippers have also been very good on the road this year when favored. In the 16 games they have been road favorites, the Clippers are 10-6 both SU and ATS. The Bucks on the other hand are horrible in any situation, but especially as home dogs. The Bucks have made a habit of being home underdogs this season and they are 5-13 ATS. LA will simply outclass the Bucks tonight on the road to an easy win and cover.
My Pick: Clippers -9