NBA Picks: Mavericks vs. Kings Odds Analysis

Steven Suarez

Friday, April 5, 2013 1:27 PM GMT

The Mavericks, one night after losing a heartbreaker to Denver, will try to rebound in a road tilt with Sacramento. What are the odds looking like and what's the correct way to lean with our NBA picks for this matchup?

Odds Overview

The current NBA odds at 5Dimes have the Kings favored by two points at home, while the O/U is at 213.5 and even 214 at some of the best sportsbooks.

Keep tracking the up-to-the-minute line changes at SBRodds.com as we get closer to tipoff. There's sure to be more movement on this game and the rest of tonight's slate, so follow the movement to find out which sportsbooks are offering the best prices. 

Dallas Mavericks 

The Mavericks, still fighting tooth and nail for a playoff spot, have hit a little bit of a rut lately, losing three of their last four. 

It culminated in a 95-94 loss to the Nuggets last night, in which Dallas was leading practically the entire game, only to lose on an Andre Iguodala layup in the closing seconds. 

Dallas' strong showing would have pleased their backers though, as they easily covered as 6.5-point favorites on the NBA odds board despite losing straight up. 

It's hard to pinpoint one or two individuals that stood out in the loss. Six different Mavs scored in double figures, but Brandan Wright's contributions off the bench were outstanding. He had a team-high 16 points to go along with six rebounds.

A quick turnaround means the Mavericks have to move on from the defeat in a hurry. They've done well after losses recently, covering in six straight contests following a L. 

Sacramento Kings

Sacramento comes into this one having lost two straight, though by their standards they've been quite decent at 4-4 SU over their last eight. During that span, Keith Smart's team has beaten Golden State at home and the L.A. Clippers at home. 

Normally a pretty decent team in their building, that hasn't been the case for the Kings over the last couple of weeks. They've lost three straight on their own floor, including a bad 101-98 loss to Minnesota.

Two nights ago they lost by 10 to James Harden and the Rockets as four-point underdogs. The Kings were murdered in the paint (58-38) and couldn't hang on the fast-break either. 

DeMarcus Cousins had 20 points and six rebounds before fouling out in just under 27 minutes, while Marcus Thornton and Tyreke Evans combined for 43 points. Jason Thompsno added a big double-double, scoring 17 points and grabbing 15 boards. 

How will the Kings respond tonight? They've gone 8-2 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU defeat, but they haven't cashed in four straight contests at home. Something's got to give.

[gameodds]5/223914/43/us[/gameodds]

NBA Pick 

We tend to always see a lot of points whenever these two teams are involved and tonight we don't expect anything to change in that regard. 

Both teams have been a dream to side with on OVERS throughout the season, posting identical 43-30-2 records. 

The Kings' defense continues to be non-existent, as they've allowed 106.6 points per game over their last five. The Mavericks have been a tad better defensively recently, but are still giving up 103.4 PPG on the road this season.

So, since we're not sure there's much value on either side for a spread pick, we are going to make a play on the OVER as one of our sports picks for the day. Good luck! 

Free NBA Picks: OVER 213.5