Mavericks Good to Go Versus Warriors – If Doncic Can Play

Friday, November 16, 2018 9:35 PM UTC

Friday, Nov. 16, 2018 9:35 PM UTC

The Dallas Mavericks are on the rise – but if they don’t have Luka Doncic, they might not beat the NBA odds when they host the Golden State Warriors this Saturday.

<p style="text-align:right"><em>Jason’s 2018-19 NBA picks record through Nov. 15: 5-5 ATS, 1-1 Totals</em></p><h2 style="text-align:center"><a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/golden-state-warriors-vs-dallas-mavericks-3570016/odds/">Golden State (12-4 SU, 8-8 ATS) vs. Dallas (6-8 SU, 9-5 ATS)</a></h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Saturday, 8:30 p.m. ET, Dallas</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Free NBA Pick: Mavericks ATS</h2><h2 style="text-align:center">Best Line Offered: <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/Sportsbook/?v=4426&amp;book=Bookmaker">at Bookmaker</a></h2><p>Now that we’re a few games into the 2018-19 regular season, we have a new weapon in our betting arsenal: overnight lines. BetOnline and SportsBetting are usually the first books to post their lines on the <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/betting-odds/nba-basketball/">NBA odds board</a> at Sportsbook Review. Basketball moves at you pretty fast – we want to give you the most relevant information we have at press time, so let’s use these lines whenever they’re available.<br /><br />Unfortunately, there’s nothing on the board yet for Saturday’s game between the Golden State Warriors and the Dallas Mavericks. Injuries are usually the culprits when this happens; we know Stephen Curry (plus-7.9 BPM) is out for the Warriors, but we don’t know for certain about the status Mavericks rookie Luka Doncic (plus-0.01 PM). He’s day-to-day with a sore left shoulder. Assuming he plays, which seems likely, Dallas should have enough betting value to go in our <a href="https://www.sportsbookreview.com/picks/nba/">NBA picks</a> this weekend.</p><h2><strong>Needs More Curry</strong></h2><p>No doubt you’ve heard a thing or two about Golden State’s chemistry issues recently. They’re 2-2 SU and 1-3 ATS since Curry was taken out of the lineup with a tender groin. The frustration is palpable; Draymond Green (plus-1.7 BPM) was suspended one game for snapping back at Kevin Durant (plus-5.0 BPM), who voiced his displeasure after Green honked the final play of regulation in what became a 121-116 overtime loss to the Los Angeles Clippers (+3.5 at home).<br /><br />Durant, of course, is a free agent at the end of the season, and the Warriors are doing what they can to keep him in town. But Curry has always been the real MVP in Oakland. Durant, Green and especially Klay Thompson (minus-3.8 BPM) are not playing nearly as well as we’re used to seeing, with or without Curry in the backcourt. This is what a dynasty in decline looks like.</p><h2><strong>His Name is Luka</strong></h2><p>The Mavericks, on the other hand, are on the rise after two years of... well, “rebuilding” isn’t exactly the right word. They’ve tried throwing whomever they can around Dirk Nowitzki from year to year, but now that Nowitzki (plus-0.3 BPM last year) is on the wrong side of 40, they’re passing the torch to Doncic (age 19), who is incredibly gifted and already playing at an NBA level after three seasons with Real Madrid. Child labor FTW~!</p><blockquote data-lang="en"><p dir="ltr" lang="en">[/]{"component": "embedHTML", "code": "&lt;blockquote class=\"twitter-tweet\" data-lang=\"en\"&gt;&lt;p lang=\"en\" dir=\"ltr\"&gt;Our special video feature for tonight...Slovenian Rhapsody! 🎤🎶&lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/luka7doncic?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;@luka7doncic&lt;/a&gt; | &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/hashtag/MFFL?src=hash&amp;amp;ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;#MFFL&lt;/a&gt; &lt;a href=\"https://t.co/po3kH0LrDY\"&gt;pic.twitter.com/po3kH0LrDY&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/p&gt;— Dallas Mavericks (@dallasmavs) &lt;a href=\"https://twitter.com/dallasmavs/status/1061454272351457280?ref_src=twsrc%5Etfw\"&gt;November 11, 2018&lt;/a&gt;&lt;/blockquote&gt;\n&lt;script async src=\"https://platform.twitter.com/widgets.js\" charset=\"utf-8\"&gt;&lt;/script&gt;\n"}[/]</p></blockquote><p><br />But will Doncic play Saturday night? It’s looking good at press time; he practiced in full on Friday, after having his shoulder X-rayed on Wednesday. The prognosis isn’t so good for Wes Matthews (minus-0.4 BPM) and his strained left hamstring, but Matthews is replaceable. Doncic, not so much, given than Nowitzki (foot) has yet to make his season debut. FiveThirtyEight projects Golden State as a 9-point home fave, so don’t be surprised if Dallas have some betting value when the lines come out for this bad boy.</p>
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