NBA Picks: Magic vs. Pacers

Jordan Sharp

Tuesday, March 19, 2013 1:28 PM GMT

The short card in the NBA for Tuesday night means we have to be very selective when making our picks.

NBA Picks: Magic vs. Pacers

The NBA Odds for this one were pretty late coming out on Tuesday morning, but they opened in favor of the Pacers at -11, with a total of 193. With Indiana playing last night in Cleveland, will they be able to get another double digit win, this time at home against the Magic?

West banged up

Despite being without starting forward David West last night, the Pacers got 18 points and 11 rebounds from his backup Tyler Hansbrough, and Indiana dispatched the Kyrie-less Cavs 111-90. They were only 4-4 SU in the month of March before last night’s win, and they are only 1-4 ATS in their last five home games.

If West ends up sitting out tonight again, I don’t think it will affect too much. If he plays that’s great too, but in the end, my handicapping doesn’t change for this game because of West. The Magic are still without a couple of players as well, and the real question is, what will Indiana do after playing last night on the road?

The Pacers are an even 9-9 on the totals of games where they played the night before, however they are 11-7 ATS this season on the second night of a back to back. The Pacers had looked like they were in a funk to start the month, but games like last night’s and tonight give them a chance to get back on track.

Orlando needs some Magic

The Magic have been exactly that in their history when it comes to drafting; Magic. They struck gold with the likes of Shaq and Dwight Howard of course, but the kicker is they either trade or let walk these guys in the end. The Magic have drafted some really good players in the past, they just never stick around long enough for anything great to happen.

They are headed for another lottery this year, and who knows, maybe they’ll get lucky. They currently sit only a few games better than the worst team the Bobcats and could easily find themselves with the #1 overall pick in the summer’s draft. They have a solid core of players, and might only need to strike gold once in a draft to be back in contention in the East in a few years.

However tonight, they face one of the toughest teams in the East, and a true testament to what good drafting can do. The Magic have been undervalued all season on the road, as they sit at 19-12-1 ATS when playing away from the Amway Center. That number improves to 19-11-1 ATS as a road underdog.

[gameodds]5/222066/169-43-1537-1096-92/us[/gameodds]

The Sharp Pick

Obviously the Magic have been undervalued on the road, so while I can’t advice anyone to take points with Orlando tonight, I can’t fault you if you do. I’m siding with one of my favorite betting lines in the NBA, the total.

In the 18 times the Pacers have played in a back to back game this season, their average score was about 93-89, making the under look like the play this evening. It would have been much lower, but in their home to road back to backs, they gave up a lot more points. Since they are coming off the road into their home court tonight, I think defense will rule.

The under has cashed at 16-6 in the last 22 times these two have played from Indiana, and in their last ten games against one another overall, the average score was 95-88. I doubt both of these teams crack 90 points tonight. The Pacers only give up 89 points per game at home, and coming off the back-to-back looks to affect their offense more than defense. Take the under for your NBA picks here.

My Pick: UNDER 193 ½ @ The Greek