We split a pair of prop betting picks last night and barely missed a perfect evening. However, we're back once again to release more of my prop betting picks for the Sunday slate of NBA Odds.
Shaun Livingston O/U 22 points, rebounds and assists
We cashed the over with Shaun Livingston’s points, rebounds and assists in Game 5 of the Warriors series with Houston, and now he has bumped up a half point to 22 in Game 1 of their series against the Blazers. By all accounts this should be a fast-paced series.
All four of their regular season meetings had huge final scores and all went over the odds set at top Sportsbooks, and even though Stephen Curry played in those, I doubt his absence changes the pace of this game. His absence will hurt the Warriors offense some because he is the best shooter on the planet, but Livingston’s skills and size make for a favorable matchup against Lillard.
As good as Lillard is, he is not a great defender. He is undersized compared to Livingston, and they are going to need Livingston to remain aggressive against Lillard in order to try and get him into foul trouble. Livingston is big enough to post up Lillard, and forcing Lillard to defend as much as possible will hurt his offense.
Just look what happened to Lillard’s offense after Chris Paul went out. He suddenly increased his Effective Field Goal Percentage to 50 percent in the final two games of that series. All in all, Livingston will grab three or four rebounds and dish out as many assists in this one, so as long as he can score 13-15 points, the over on NBA Odds should be a solid play.
Free NBA Props Pick: Over 22 -115
Best Line Offered: at Bovada
Draymond Green O/U 9.5 rebounds
Without Curry, Draymond Green is going to play a very important role in this series, and I think he is going to step up in many different ways. One of those is rebounding the basketball. During their four regular season matchups against one another, Green grabbed 48 rebounds, an average of 12 per game. With Al Farouq Aminu moving to the power forward spot, Green will be able to muscle him around in rebounds, and there is some chance that they move Green to play some center at times, which will also help his rebounding numbers.
Green hasn’t grabbed double digit rebounds since Game 2 of the Houston series, but he really hasn’t had to. The Rockets were blown out in the last two games of the series, and in some of those games they slowed down the pace where there weren’t as many missed shots to go around. That likely won’t be the case here in this series. The pace was extremely fast in all four games these teams met up in the regular season, and as long as Green can get some long rebounds and maybe a few on the offensive end as well, the over looks like the NBA pick here.
Free NBA Props Pick: Over 9.5 -125
Best Line Offered: at JustBet