NBA Picks Lakers vs. Warriors -12.5

Steven Suarez

Saturday, December 21, 2013 2:38 PM GMT

Saturday, Dec. 21, 2013 2:38 PM GMT

The Lakers looked good last night despite being shorthanded, but it's going to be a lot tougher at Oracle Arena tonight. Find out where we feel the best NBA betting value lies.

Odds Overview

Most sportsbooks have listed Golden State as a 12.5-point favorite, though the number is as high as 13 at some sites. The Warriors are 14-13 SU and 11-14-2 ATS, while the Lakers are 13-13 SU and 15-10-1 ATS.

The O/U for tonight's game has settled in around 206.5.

Los Angeles Lakers

The Lakers were recently hit hard with the news that Kobe Bryant and Steve Nash will both be out for an extended period of time with their respective injuries.

They came in to last night's game as six-point underdogs against Minnesota on their home floor, but Mike D'Antoni's crew certainly rose to the occasion and then some. In the end, L.A won 104-91 while shooting 53.8 percent (42-of-78) from the floor overall.

With so many injuries, the Lakers will have to get some monster performances out of Pau Gasol inside, and he provided just that against the Timberwolves. He racked up 21 points, 13 rebounds, eight assists, two blocks and a steal in close to 33 minutes of action.

The depleted backcourt means Xavier Henry has had to step in as the new starting point guard. He came through with a nice day in his debut, putting up 21 points, four rebounds, three assists and three steals.

Will the Lakers be able to come out that hot on the road? So far they're 6-7 SU and 7-6 ATS outside of Los Angeles.

Golden State Warriors

It's a tough time to be a Warriors fan right now. They haven't been playing to their full potential whatsoever throughout the season.

There's no better example of that than their home loss to San Antonio two nights back. The Spurs rested Tim Duncan and Manu Ginobili and Tony Parker was out also injured, yet Golden State still couldn't do enough to win.

Stephen Curry and David Lee were the two standouts in the loss. Curry hit 12-of-28 shots and finished with 30 points and 15 assists, while Lee went for 32 points (13-of-22 FG) and 13 rebounds in just over 39 minutes.

As a team, it was a struggle. The Warriors were only 8-of-31 (25.8 percent) from beyond the arc and had 24 turnovers in a loss that Mark Jackson will want to forget quickly.

Golden State has lost three of four and is a poor 3-5 SU (2-6 ATS) over their previous eight games. They need to turn things around in a hurry, but this situation sets up nicely for them to cover in the NBA odds.

NBA Pick

We've had a split in the season's two meetings this season, with each team winning straight up and against the spread at home.

After breaking down tonight's matchup, we believe that trend will keep up.

The Lakers were terrific against Minnesota, but they were buoyed by the home crowd, as well as the fact that no one gave them a shot without the likes of Kobe Bryant, Steve Nash, Jordan Farmar and Steve Blake. Everyone stepped up to cover the missing the pieces.

But, the Warriors will be out for blood tonight after that loss to the Spurs and we fully expect them to feat on the visiting Lakers. It's a lot of points, but we're taking Golden State to cover in our NBA picks.

Pick: Warriors -12.5

[gameodds]5/250830/?r-1=43-19-349/us[/gameodds]

comment here