NBA Picks: Lakers vs. Mavericks

Joe Freda

Tuesday, November 5, 2013 2:08 PM GMT

The Dallas Mavericks have a 2-0 spread record in their pair of matchups as home ‘chalk,’ lighting up their foes for 114.5 PPG. Tuesday’s NBA action has Rick Carlisle’s club hosting the Los Angeles Lakers, who are 2-1 ATS as underdogs.

Mavs, Marion hold off Memphis 

The Dallas Mavericks remain home after Saturday’s 111-99 triumph over the Memphis Grizzlies, cruising as a three-point favorite. The Mavericks prevailed despite being held to 40 percent field shooting, while outrebounded by a 51-45 margin.

Mavericks forward Shawn Marion notched season-highs of 21 points and 14 boards, sinking 9-of-10 free throws. The 14-year veteran added two of his side’s four blocks, with mates Dirk Nowitzki and Jose Calderon uniting to drain 6-of-11 buckets beyond the arc. 

Calderon logged five assists en route to finishing with 15 points, while Dallas’ DeJuan Blair grabbed four steals off the bench. The duel’s combined 210 points soared above the ‘total’ of 194 ½, cashing OVER tickets for my followers.

Lakers edge Hawks at home

The Los Angeles Lakers ended a two-game losing streak with Sunday’s 105-103 victory as a one-point home favorite against the Atlanta Hawks. The Lakers led by as many as 21 points, while helped by Atlanta’s 14-for-26 night at the foul line. 

Los Angeles’ Pau Gasol picked up his third double-double in four games, putting up 16 boards en route to 13 rebounds. Lakers backcourt mates Steve Nash and Steve Blake combined for 13 assists, while Wesley Johnson logged three blocks. 

Gasol sank a pair of clutch free throws with six seconds remaining, answering a late five-point run from Atlanta that tied the game. The final minute’s scoring surge also sent the duel’s combined 208 points beyond the ‘total’ of 206, lifting the OVER to 3-1 in the Lakers’ first four contests.

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Back the UNDER on Tuesday

Dallas opened as an 8 ½-point favorite at The Greek, while NBA odds makers first listed the ‘total’ at 214. The Mavericks are playing the front end of a back-to-back with a trip looming to Oklahoma City, while Los Angeles has one day off before resuming its road trip against the Houston Rockets.

I am adding the UNDER to Tuesday’s NBA picks, looking for the octane of both clubs to drop in a hard-fought battle.

Dallas has held its opposition to 27.5 percent shooting from three-point land at American Airlines Center, while the UNDER cashed at 2-0 in the Lakers’ two trips to “Big D” last season. The pair of affairs saw the Mavericks put up a subpar 94 PPG, outrebounded by a combined margin of 106-83.

Los Angeles gave up 125 points in last week’s sole road matchup with the Golden State Warriors, but should be in a spot to tighten up here. Lakers guard Wesley Johnson has quietly notched eight blocks this year, ranking fifth in the Western Conference (2 BPG).

Los Angeles’ Pau Gasol and Dallas’ Shawn Marion have grabbed their share of defensive rebounds, setting up a premium for second-chance points here. Look for UNDER backers to collect, while these rivals look ahead to the rest of the week’s packed schedule.

Free NBA Pick:  UNDER 214 at The Greek