NBA Picks: Knicks vs. Pacers Game 3

Jeff Grant

Friday, May 10, 2013 12:08 PM GMT

The Indiana Pacers have scored 106 or more points in all three home games during the 2013 NBA playoffs to this point, as they prepare to take on the New York Knicks Saturday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 3 of this Eastern Conference semifinal series at Banker’s Life Fieldhouse, with the opening tip scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET on ABC.

Evened up 

New York tallied an impressive 105-79 victory over Indiana as 5.5-point home favorites Tuesday, which tied the series at 1-1, while pushing up against the betting total of 184. 

The Knicks are 15-6 straight up (SU) and 14-7 against the spread (ATS) off a home win by 10 or more points since the start of the regular season, with the UNDER going 10-9-2 in that situation. 

Mission accomplished 

Say what you want about Indiana’s performance in the second half of Game 2, the youngest team left in the postseason accomplished its goal, as it currently possesses home-court advantage in this best-of-seven series. 

The Pacers were battling in the most recent affair until Knicks forward Carmelo Anthony scored 16 of his 32 points during a 30-2 run in the second half.  

Indiana’s backcourt of George Hill and Lance Stephenson will need to do a better job in taking care of the basketball, as 21 turnovers led directly to 32 points on the other end.

Disappearing act 

NBA handicappers certainly know that Anthony can’t do it all on his own if New York plans on advancing to the conference finals, which is why Sixth Man of the Year J.R. Smith needs to get out of his recent shooting slump.

Smith has knocked down just 7 of 30 shot attempts from the floor in the series, while he missed 25 of 36 attempts in two regular season road games versus the Pacers earlier in the year. 

Second-chance points

One of the reasons I like the OVER in this game when looking over the NBA odds page is the fact that Indiana should be able to create scoring opportunities on the offensive glass, as it out-rebounded Atlanta by a 146-101 margin in three home games of its first round series. 

The Pacers were unable to match the Knicks’ energy in the previous game, which led to a 37-35 disparity on the boards.

[gameodds]5/228707/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks Saturday, as the OVER is 9-3-1 in the Pacers’ last 13 games overall, while also climbing above the number in both opportunities when revenging a blowout loss of 20 or more points. 

NBA Pick:  Over 184 at 5Dimes