NBA Picks: Knicks vs. Celtics Game 6

Jeff Grant

Friday, May 3, 2013 11:28 AM GMT

The New York Knicks have failed to end their series with the Boston Celtics on two occasions already, as the two teams prepare to meet tonight. Where do we believe that the best value lies to our NBA picks?

Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 6 of this Eastern Conference quarterfinal series, with the opening tip scheduled for 7:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Also check out my NBA Picks: Clippers vs. Grizzlies Game 6.

Complete failure 

New York scored the first 11 points in Game 5 Wednesday, but ultimately suffered a 92-86 setback to Boston as nine-point home favorites, while going UNDER the total for the fourth time in five contests. 

The Knicks are 4-5 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) when playing with double revenge against an opponent, with the OVER going 7-2 in that situation. 

Still facing an uphill climb 

Boston may have the momentum in winning the last two games against New York, but its still important to consider that only three teams in NBA history have rallied from a 3-0 deficit to force a Game 7, with each one eventually losing the series at the end. 

The Celtics are 3-3 SU and 2-4 ATS off two or more consecutive upset wins over the last two-plus seasons, with no clear advantage in the betting total (3-3 Over/Under). 

All signs point to the UNDER

NBA handicappers will likely expect another low-scoring affair when looking over the betting odds for this matchup, especially since the UNDER is 7-1 in the last eight overall meetings between these Atlantic division rivals. 

It’s important to consider that the current number of 181 in the market would be the lowest total in this series in at least the last 10 meetings. 

Carmelo and Smith 

I’m expecting a major bounce-back performance on the offensive end from Carmelo Anthony and J.R. Smith in this affair, as the Knicks duo combined for just 36 points on 11 of 38 shooting Wednesday. 

The Celtics played just seven players last time out, which will likely lead to the failure of playing with intensity on the defensive end for a full 48 minutes.

[gameodds]5/228466/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers play the total as one of their NBA picks Friday, as the OVER is 4-0 in the Knicks’ last four opportunities when revenging two consecutive losses as a favorite. 

Boston has been a better team on the offensive end when playing in front of its home fans, while New York has often failed to play great defense on the road. 

NBA Pick: Bet the Over 181 at Bet365