NBA Picks: Kings vs. Mavericks

Jordan Sharp

Wednesday, February 13, 2013 1:56 PM GMT

The Kings meet up with the Mavs one night after playing in Memphis and losing to the Grizzlies 101-108. Dallas comes into this game as a huge -10 ½ favorite, and a total of 209 points.

NBA Picks: Kings vs. Mavs

With so much action in the NBA on tonight, we need to be careful in choosing our NBA picks. However, I have one for this game that has excellent value.

Sacramento defense

Much like the Lockness Monster or big foot, the rarely sited Sacramento defense will once again try and come out tonight against the Mavs. Sacramento ranks dead last in the NBA in points allowed, giving up 103.4 points per game. They gave up 108 last night, and recently on the second night of a back to back this season, the Kings have been giving up huge points. They gave up 111 and 120 points respectfully in their last back to back.

Mavs mesh, but not enough?

Trade rumors are once again swirling around the Mavs, but the question is will it affect their play. Dallas has won three of their last five games SU, but they are playing with such inconsistency that it’s hard to predict them on this high of a spread, even if they are playing the Kings. Dallas has a great ATS record this season, but they are even better at cashing the over, especially against the Kings.

NBA Free Value Plays

[gameodds]5/218311/43/us[/gameodds]

The Sharp Pick

As far as were these two teams stand against the NBA odds, the total has gone over in nine of the last ten times these two have met up, and in 12 of the last 14 times they have played from Dallas. The two have played twice already this season, and in both games Dallas scored 117 and 119 points respectfully. With the Kings on the second night of a back to back, and Dallas playing well on offense, I see no reason why Dallas can’t score another 110+ points on the Kings.

NBA Picks: OVER 209 

Be sure to check out my other pick for today: Atlanta vs. Orlando