NBA Picks: Jazz vs. Grizzlies

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, April 17, 2013 3:16 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 17, 2013 3:16 PM GMT

The Memphis Grizzlies haven’t lost back-to-back home games this season, as they prepare to close out the 2012-13 NBA regular season against the Utah Jazz Wednesday night.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for this Western Conference matchup at FedExForum, with the opening tip scheduled for 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPN.

Take a look at our daily NBA Odds & Betting Lines report.

A lot on the line 

Utah has won four of its last five games, including a 96-80 blowout victory over the Minnesota Timberwolves as 4.5-point road favorites Monday, as it tries to chase down the Los Angeles Lakers for the eighth and final playoff spot out West

The Jazz will earn a trip to the 2013 NBA playoffs with a win and a Lakers loss against the Houston Rockets.

NBA handicappers will find that the Jazz are 13-27 straight up (SU) and 18-21-1 against the spread (ATS) when playing away from EnergySolutions Arena this season, with the OVER going 21-18-1 in that situation. 

Outside shot 

Memphis owns a 22-8 record since the NBA All-Star break, which is the third-best record in the league over that span, but it still needs some help in potentially earning the No. 4 seed and home-court advantage in the first round of the playoffs. 

The Grizzlies can accomplish that task by picking up their third win in four tries against the Jazz—coupled with a Los Angeles Clippers’ loss in Sacramento.

Over the last two-plus seasons, the franchise is 21-8 SU and 18-11 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5 to 6 points, with the OVER going 16-12-1 in those 29 opportunities. 

Not a dangerous road underdog

NBA handicappers may be interested in grabbing the points on the SBR Odds page, as the Jazz have won three consecutive road games for the first time since 2010, but they’ve gone 6-26 SU and 11-20-1 ATS as underdogs of 3.5 to 6 points when playing away from Salt Lake City. 

It’s still important to note that Utah has covered the number in 14 of the last 20 meetings overall in this particular series. 

Hitting the century mark 

The Grizzlies have won 23 of 24 games this season when scoring 100 or more points, which has been made possible by a defense that ranks first in the NBA in surrendering just 89.5 points per game. 

Memphis would be the first team to hold opponents to below 90 points per game over the course of an 82-game regular season schedule since the 2005-06 campaign.

[gameodds]5/224975/43/us[/gameodds]

Prediction 

I’m going to recommend that readers back the Grizzlies as one of their NBA picks Wednesday night, as they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in their last five home games versus teams with a losing road record. 

NBA Pick:  Memphis Grizzlies -5 at Pinnacle
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