NBA Picks: Heat & Wizards Odds Breakdown

Steven Suarez

Wednesday, April 10, 2013 1:04 PM GMT

Wednesday, Apr. 10, 2013 1:04 PM GMT

The Wizards have been playing better recently, but they run into the cream of the crop tonight. Will it be Washington or Miami that gets the nod with our NBA picks?

Odds Overview The Wizards favored by 2 to 2.5 points over the defending champions? Yes, you read that right. With more rest likely given to Miami's stars, NBA odds makers have given Washington the favorites tag.

As for the total, it can be located at either 189 or 189.5. The UNDER is 5-1 in the previous six head-to-head matchups between these teams, but the OVER is 4-1 in Washington's last five on their home court.

[gameodds]5/224433/43/us[/gameodds]

Miami Heat

No time for rest for the Heat, as they immediately had to head to the nation's capital after beating Milwaukee at home last night.

Even with Dwyane Wade and Chris Bosh both out, Miami shut down the Bucks en-route to a 94-83 win as 6.5-point favorites. Brandon Jennings was the only Milwaukee player to score in double figures.

Miami was led by none other than LeBron James, who had 28 points, seven assists, and seven rebounds in just over 30 minutes. Udonis Haslem had 10 points and 15 rebounds, while the Maimi bench contributed 43 points.

With the cover, the Heat have now managed to go 5-1 against the spread over their last six. They've also cashed in four of their previous five on the road.

Thing is, Miami has already locked up the number one overall seed in the East, so there's little reason not to rest their stars ahead of what's sure to be a grueling playoff run. LeBron, D-Wade, and Bosh could all very well sit out tonight.

Can anyone beat the Heat in a seven game playoffs series?

Washington Wizards 

The Wizards fell victim to the red-hot Knicks last night, losing 120-99 as 8.5-point underdogs. They've now lost three of four both straight up and against the spread. 

There's only so much you can do when your opponent simply cannot seem to miss. New York hit 56.2 percent of their attempts overall and were a ridiculous 20-of-36 (55.6 percent) from three-point range. Washington couldn't keep up with the offensive barrage, it's as simple as that. 

John Wall was one of the few who was able to get going on the offensive end. He was aggressive throughout, leading to a team-high 33 points on 11-of-19 shooting. 

Washington's other four starters didn't have such luck though. Garrett Temple, Martell Webster, Nene, and Emeka Okafor totaled 30 points between them.

What kind of response are we looking at from Randy Wittman's squad? The Wizards have done well in the second games of back-to-backs this season, going 15-5 ATS. They'll aim to add to that tally tonight at home.

Take a look at our predictions for the First Round Playoff Matchups.

NBA Pick

Bosh will miss tonight's game, while it's likely D-Wade will be rested too. LeBron could sit out, but even if he does play he won't be given his normal allotment of minutes. 

The Heat have proven they have the system in place to still win games without their key guys out there, but that doesn't mean they're the slam-dunk play with our sports picks tonight.

We actually like the Wizards tonight. They had no chance against New York's unwavering three-point barrage, but we see two clear advantages over the reigning champs here. For one, Wall has been one of the league's best players over the last couple of months and should have his way again. Then, you have to think Nene and Okafor will be able to bounce back against Miami's weak interior, especially if LeBron isn't on the court.

Call us crazy for going against Miami, but we believe the value lies with the home team. Good luck! 

NBA Pick: Washington Wizards -2 at 5Dimes
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