NBA Picks: Heat vs. Pacers Game 3

Jeff Grant

Saturday, May 25, 2013 12:38 PM GMT

Saturday, May. 25, 2013 12:38 PM GMT

Both the Indiana Pacers and Miami Heat land in favorable betting situations Sunday night, as their best-of-seven series shifts to Indianapolis for the next two games.


Let’s take a closer look at the NBA odds for Game 3 of the Eastern Conference finals at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, with the opening tip scheduled for 8:30 p.m. ET on TNT.

Not enough

Miami will need to win at least one game in Indianapolis in this series if it plans to advance to the NBA Finals for a third consecutive year, as it suffered a 97-93 setback as 7.5-point home favorites in Game 2 Friday, while going OVER the betting total of 182.5.

The Heat are 4-1 straight up (SU) and against the spread (ATS) when revenging a home loss versus an opponent since the start of the regular season, with the UNDER going 4-1 in that situation.

Showing heart

Indiana showed great resolve in bouncing back from an overtime loss in the series opener, as it has covered the number in both games in this series, while the OVER has cashed in both opportunities.

The Pacers are 9-5 SU and 10-4 ATS in the 2013 NBA playoffs, with the OVER being a surprising 9-5 in those 14 affairs.

The situation at hand

NBA handicappers are going to have a hard time making an NBA pick on this contest when looking over the betting lines, considering the Heat are 4-0 SUATS on the road in the postseason, while the Pacers are 6-0 SUATS at home.

Indiana has won its six games at this venue by an average of 14 points since the regular season ended, but it’s important to consider that Miami has won at least one road game in 10 consecutive playoff series.

The King

Four-time NBA MVP LeBron James led all scorers with 36 points in Game 2, but it wasn’t enough to lead the Heat to a 2-0 lead in this best-of-seven series, as he’s in the midst of a classic postseason battle with Pacers young star Paul George.   

James has been known to raise his level of play in hostile environments this time of year, which has led directly to Miami winning 14 games on the road in the playoffs since he arrived in South Beach—the most in the NBA over that span.

Outlook

I established a handicapper line of a pick ‘em for this affair, which would represent a play on the Pacers as a slight home underdog at the time of this article/video, but I’m asking readers to hold off until the day of the game.

At that time, I suggest that readers back whichever side is getting points before the opening tip for your sports picks for this one.

Free NBA Pick: Underdog before the opening tip-off

[gameodds]5/236642/43-349-192/us[/gameodds]
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