NBA Picks: Heat vs. Nets

Jeff Grant

Wednesday, January 30, 2013 12:18 PM GMT

The Miami Heat have won their last 12 games against the Nets heading into Wednesday night’s primetime affair on ESPN, which can’t be ignored when making your NBA picks.


Let’s take a closer look at this Eastern Conference matchup from a betting perspective.

Moving on

Miami had its four-game win streak snapped in a 100-98 overtime setback to the Boston Celtics as 3.5-point NBA odds favorites, while going OVER the total for a third consecutive contest.  The Heat are a disappointing 3-6 on the road versus conference opponents this year, which has played a big part in their 8-12 against-the-spread (ATS) record when playing away from AmericanAirlines Arena.

There’s no place like home

Brooklyn has compiled a solid 17-7 record in its first season of action at the Barclays Center, which includes a convincing 97-77 victory over the Orlando Magic as 9.5-point home favorites last time out.  The Nets have won 13 of their 16 games versus conference opponents at this facility, but are just 11-11-2 ATS in front of their home fans overall.

Defending champs have dominated

Sports bettors need to realize that the Heat have won 12 consecutive games versus the Nets, which is currently their longest win streak over any team in the league  Miami has covered the spread in five of the last six meetings in this series, while the OVER is on a 19-7-1 run when these two teams meet away from the Sunshine State.  

Wednesday night’s visitor is 2-0 ATS in two games versus Brooklyn in this year’s series, while the UNDER has cashed in both affairs.

Listed as probable

It’s always important to monitor the injury report on a daily basis, especially when handicapping the NBA, as it can often be the different in determining line value.  Miami center Chris Bosh (foot) and Brooklyn point guard Deron Williams (flu-like symptoms) are both listed as probable after missing practice Tuesday.  Both are critical pieces to each side, especially on the offensive end.

[gameodds]5/157389/43/us[/gameodds]

James and Wade

LeBron James and Dwyane Wade are combining to score 47.3 points per game this season, which has been helped along by playing great offensive basketball against the Nets.  Miami’s All-Star pair averaged 48.5 points against Brooklyn in the first two meetings this year.  It’s important to note that the Nets have limited opponents to 42.4 percent shooting during their current eight-game home winning streak.

Prediction

I’m going to recommend that readers back the total as one of their NBA picks, as the UNDER is 4-0 when the Heat tip off as road favorites of three points or less this season.  In terms of making your wager—I’d try to hold off until this number hits 190 or breaks that threshold in the marketplace.  

NBA Free Picks:  Under 189.5 at Pinnacle